Presented by Instagram: How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
Oct 29, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO Digital Future Daily Newsletter Header

By Christine Mui

Presented by 

Instagram

With help from Derek Robertson

Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, delivers remarks during a campaign rally.

Vice President Kamala Harris. | Francis Chung/POLITICO

Vice President Kamala Harris stumped hard on semiconductor manufacturing this week, visiting the Michigan plant of a chip supplier that’s in line to get more than $300 million in subsidies from a landmark Biden administration law. After walking the Hemlock Semiconductor factory floor, Harris hammered home her pitch as the candidate who will cement America’s leadership in the 21st century.

“A very serious choice [will be] presented in the next eight days. And as much as anything, it is a question about what is the direction in the future that we want for our country,” she said.

On tech policy, Harris and her surrogates are walking through a door left wide open by President Donald Trump. Speaking on Joe Rogan’s podcast Friday, Trump blasted the CHIPS and Science Act, the law directing $39 billion to subsidies to rebuild American semiconductor manufacturing, as “so bad.”

Rather than hand money to “rich companies,” Trump said, the better move was to impose tariffs “so high that they will come and build their chip companies for nothing.” (Notably, despite his rebuke, Trump stopped short of addressing what he would actually do about the CHIPS Act if he wins, and his campaign didn’t respond to DFD’s questions asking if he’d roll it back.)

In that way, a visit to a factory was a rare moment of presidential debate over how America will grow its high-tech economy and guard against China: by continuing President Joe Biden’s industrial strategy, or by using Trump’s preferred approach of tariff hikes and income tax cuts.

In a presidential campaign, a big topic like the future quickly boils down to the narrow question of how it helps you win the election. And there, the CHIPS Act is a strategist's dream. Its jobs promises could — in theory — speak to core constituencies like union workers. The Biden administration has already approved preliminary grants to projects in several swing states, including Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina and Michigan.

Accordingly, Harris and her surrogates just used a whole news cycle slamming Trump for threatening to “kill” the CHIPS Act.

Arizona in particular is key, where Intel and TSMC are negotiating multi-billion dollar awards for building and expanding several chipmaking plants. Those plans, if they come to fruition, will create thousands of jobs.

Arizona’s Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly, a major backer of the CHIPS Act and frequent Harris campaign surrogate, accused the former president of launching a "direct assault on the Arizona economy.” Kelly later warned on CNN, "if you're working in the semiconductor industry … you might be out of a job because of Donald Trump."

Tech observers questioned why Trump would open himself to attack days before the vote. “You make that point in your first speech,” Rob Atkinson, president of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation think tank, told DFD. “From an electoral college perspective, it’s a self-inflicted error. He gets nothing from it and allows Harris to say, ‘I'm the one who's doing this, and I'm going to protect it.'”

Democratic strategists are pushing Harris to focus more on the economy, and she’s planning to make it an emphasis in the final stretch, including her closing speech tonight in Washington. Matt Corridoni, a DNC spokesperson, told DFD Trump “is threatening to defund and dismantle thousands of manufacturing jobs.”

Plenty of economists and trade analysts have panned Trump’s ever-expanding tariff plans, saying they would inflate prices for consumers. Willy Shih, a Harvard University economist and advisor on the CHIPS Act speaking in his personal capacity, told DFD tariffs on chips would lead to retaliation from other countries and create uncertainty in the U.S. tech market. “Businesses depend on predictability. They depend on if you say you're going to do something, or you pass a law that's going to do something, to not have the next administration come rescind it right away,” Shih said.

Regardless of how the policy plays out, Harris may already have missed the opportunity to sell voters on a big, expensive achievement of the Biden-Harris administration.

“I'm skeptical that Harris will get many undecided votes by touting the CHIPS Act. Projects are beset with delays, and so far not many new workers have been hired,” said Gary Hufbauer, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and former top Treasury official.

Harris’ visit to Michigan was her first to a manufacturing site benefitting from CHIPS funding since she became the nominee. Even the company that Harris visited Monday, Hemlock Semiconductor, got an 11th-hour deal, with the Commerce Department proposing to give it $325 million just last week.

Trump’s stance on CHIPS Act funding matters for more than just politics. No money from the law’s biggest incentive has actually gone out yet, despite the Commerce Department giving preliminary approval to more than 20 grants and finalizing a deal with one company. (The administration has said it’s working quickly to implement the law while being responsible with taxpayer dollars.)

“If I were them between now and January 20,” Atkinson said, of the administration. “Just get that money out there. Because who knows what Trump could do.”

 

A message from Instagram:

Introducing Instagram Teen Accounts with automatic protections for teens.

Instagram is launching Teen Accounts, with built-in protections limiting who can contact teens and the content they can see. Plus, only parents can approve safety setting changes for teens under 16.

This means parents can have more peace of mind when it comes to protecting their teens.

Learn more.

 
the view from across the atlantic

From a United Kingdom-centric perspective, the United States’ AI policy is starting to look suspiciously familiar.

POLITICO’s Morning Tech U.K. today compared President Joe Biden’s national security memorandum issued last week to similar efforts by Great Britain, which is also seeking to build out state capacity to govern safety and place guardrails around the most powerful AI models.

MTUK singled out the AI Safety Institute, which according to the memo is responsible for determining whether risks have been adequately mitigated. They write that this could trip up open-source AI developers by requiring them to keep track of the use of their models in the wild, but note that Brussels included carve-outs for similar situations in its AI Act.

They cite an anonymous source saying the U.K. plans a further “cluster of AI announcements” in November.

 

A message from Instagram:

Advertisement Image

 
TWEET OF THE DAY

VP Harris: "Can I touch it?"Hemlock Semiconductor rep: "Do not touch it!"Harris: "Do not. Glad I asked."

The Future in 5 links

Stay in touch with the whole team: Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Mohar Chatterjee ( mchatterjee@politico.com); Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com); Nate Robson (nrobson@politico.com); Daniella Cheslow (dcheslow@politico.com); and Christine Mui (cmui@politico.com).

If you’ve had this newsletter forwarded to you, you can sign up and read our mission statement at the links provided.

 

A message from Instagram:

Introducing Instagram Teen Accounts: a new experience for teens, guided by parents.

Instagram is launching Teen Accounts, with built-in protections limiting who can contact teens and the content they can see. Plus, only parents can approve safety setting changes for teens under 16.

So parents can have more peace of mind when it comes to protecting their teens.

Learn more.

 
 

REGISTER NOW: WOMEN RULE: A new generation of women leaders is shaping the future. Join POLITICO for exclusive conversations with rising women leaders who will influence agendas in Washington and beyond in 2025. Stay for cocktails and hors d'oeuvres. REGISTER HERE to attend in-person or virtually.

 
 
 

Follow us on Twitter

Daniella Cheslow @DaniellaCheslow

Steve Heuser @sfheuser

Christine Mui @MuiChristine

Derek Robertson @afternoondelete

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://login.politico.com/?redirect=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to npuh0facrl@nie.podam.pl by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Unsubscribe | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service

source=GoggleDocument, article=00000192-d9e4-d9dc-adbe-fbe564360000