The Brink
Demand wanes for motorbike brands KTM, MV Agusta

Welcome to The Brink. It’s Libby Cherry in Frankfurt and Marton Eder in Vienna, where we are following the struggles of KTM’s owner Pierer Mobility. We also have news on Dish, commercial mortgage-backed securities and German real estate companies. Follow this link to subscribe. Send us feedback and tips at debtnews@bloomberg.net or DM on X to @libbycherry98.

Struggling to Keep Up 

In the world of motorbike racing, KTM is a well-respected brand, with a racer in the top rankings of MotoGP, the two-wheeled equivalent of Formula 1.

In the real world, the Austrian company is struggling to keep up. Shares in KTM’s parent company, Swiss-listed Pierer Mobility — which owns a variety of motorcycle brands such as Husqvarna, MV Agusta and e-bikes — recorded the biggest weekly slump on record in the five days to Oct. 25 after its full-year earnings guidance was scrapped. 

Pierer Mobility’s story is an all-too-familiar one among companies that experienced an unexpected surge in sales during Covid-19 lockdowns. Needing to keep up with demand, the firm increased inventory, leaving it in a difficult position when sales suddenly slumped as the world returned to normal. 

The earnings debacle followed unexpectedly high impairment in Pierer Mobility’s e-bike segment, which has been undergoing restructuring, as well as a slowdown in demand for motorcycles, particularly in the US. The company has also been seeking to support its dealer base during the period of weaker sales by allowing dealers to pay for stock later, driving up working capital needs. 

Pierer Mobility’s debt had already started to show signs that investors weren’t comfortable even before last week. Market participants say investors have been trying to sell KTM’s promissory notes, also known as Schuldschein, at levels close to par. Such instruments are more illiquid than bonds or syndicated loans, which typically makes sales quite slow.

Under the terms of the Schuldschein, KTM is required to increase interest payments if it fails to meet certain credit metrics, which will be tested when it reports annual results. In the event of a miss, the interest rate will be increased by 50 basis points, management said during the first-half earnings call. The notes don’t have covenants that would allow lenders to call for early repayment.

A Husqvarna AB 701. Photographer: Michaela Handrek-Rehle/Bloomberg

Austrian businessman Stefan Pierer bought KTM’s motorcycle business out of insolvency in 1992, and listed Pierer Mobility in 2016 after building out new models and acquiring more brands. Around 75% of Pierer Mobility’s shares are held by a joint venture between Pierer and India-based automotive manufacturer Bajaj Auto

Pierer is known for his turnaround bets, most recently through the recapitalization of distressed Austrian firetruck maker Rosenbauer International alongside Red Bull heir Mark Mateschitz. He became the sole shareholder of embattled German auto supplier Leoni last year following a debt restructuring, and now plans to sell a 50.1% stake in the business to China’s Luxshare. 

Pierer’s bets on Rosenbauer suggest he isn’t short on cash and he has already stepped in to provide some more support for his broader network of businesses. As recently as four months ago, he injected around €255 million via a profit participation right into Pierer Industrie AG, which indirectly owns a stake in Pierer Mobility, according to first-half results.

High Alert

  • Sweden’s Northvolt is likely to complete an expected funding round of about $300 million next week, as the battery-cell maker races to get its finances on a more stable footing.
  • The extra yield investors demand to hold Argentina’s sovereign debt over similarly dated US Treasury yields closed below 10 percentage points, a level that traditionally signals distress, according to data from JPMorgan. The spread is at its lowest levels since August 2019.
  • Ukraine’s energy company Naftogaz won a freeze of some Russian assets in Finland, the first measure of its kind since the firm won a $5 billion arbitration last year.

The Latest on… Dish

Dish Network sweetened the terms of a distressed debt exchange as it seeks to drum up support among bondholders to complete a merger of its satellite unit with DirecTV, Reshmi Basu and Jill Shah write.

The US telecommunications company extended a deadline to sign up to the deal by two weeks and trimmed the haircut for investors in the debt of the Dish DBS unit by about $70 million to $1.5 billion. It’s unclear whether the new terms will be enough to end the standoff between creditors and company even as DirecTV has previously threatened it will walk away.

An additional hurdle emerged on Friday last week. US Bank Trust, the collateral agent and trustee of the debt, is asking holders for guidance on a company request to recognize collateral tied to Dish subscribers as extra backing for a new loan by TPG, the fund that’s set to control the merged entity. The loan would help repay $2 billion of bonds due on Nov. 15.

Notes From the Brink

For the first time since the great financial crisis, buyers of top-rated commercial mortgage-backed securities tied to offices are facing losses, Carmen Arroyo writes. And within this market, the pain is most acute in a new breed of bonds, known as SASBs, which are typically tied to a single building.

Many were linked to buildings in prime locations in the largest US cities. 1407 Broadway in midtown Manhattan, River North Point in Chicago, 600 California St. in San Francisco and at 555 West 5th St. in Los Angeles were considered rock-solid investments impervious to the vagaries of economic cycles.

The pandemic exposed just how risky the concept behind SASBs was. But back before lockdown and remote-work became everyday words, investors were blind to it. They scooped up the SASB debt at such a frantic clip that it grew from almost nothing into a $300 billion market in a little over a decade.

A Bloomberg analysis of almost every SASB tied to a US office property, more than 150 in all, revealed that creditors across numerous deals are on track to get only a portion of their original investment back. In multiple cases, the losses will likely reach all the way up to buyers of the AAA portions of the debt.

By the Numbers

German companies are testing investor appetite for real estate debt on the back of a positive year for issuers in the space, Giulia Morpurgo, Arno Schütze and Lucca de Paoli report. 

Adler Group and Vivion have been preliminarily sounding out investors in recent weeks to refinance expensive debt they took out in the past years. Adler has started to tap some of its creditors for a potential refinancing of its first lien debt. It was put in place as the company was navigating two debt restructurings in two years at a whopping 12.5% annual interest. 

Meanwhile, Vivion has also held meetings with investors and talked about the possibility of refinancing its outstanding bonds with cheaper notes. The debt was issued last year, when investors feared interest rates would have stayed higher for longer, and pays 6.5% annual interest in cash, on top of 1.5% in-kind.

Real estate has yielded year-to-date total returns of 35%, outperforming all other industries in a Bloomberg European high yield index, as the market benefits from the European Central Bank beginning to ease monetary policy. 

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