Angus Taylor arrived at the three-corned migration battle this week with a plan aimed at the middle road between One Nation and the government.
Vowing to slash Australia's temporary workforce by 650,000 people over four years, the opposition leader was trying to land the twin objectives of bringing the fight to One Nation while also presenting an economically sound policy.
With a top line designed to grab headlines — "the largest cut to immigration in Australia's history" — the opposition has pledged deep cuts to graduate, refugee and bridging visas should Taylor get handed the keys to the Lodge.
The opposition is the last to join the migration debate. Labor released its own policy several weeks ago, forging ahead with changes to reduce the Net Overseas Migration figure to its Treasury forecasted cap of 225,000 people. One Nation got out of the blocks first, though, flagging a period of negative migration before its policy settles at 130,000 people per year.
The Coalition hit the middle: two years at 100,000 before rising to 160,000 in the fourth year.
That's a deeper cut than Peter Dutton proposed ahead of the last election. So far, Taylor has done a better job at selling the plan than his predecessor. Dutton's pitch was mired in confusion as he struggled to explain which visa categories would be targeted.
But time will tell if the Coalition's revamped policy stacks up. Business groups claimed the plan would harm economic growth, concerns dismissed by Taylor as being made by "vested interests". The aged care sector also raised the alarm.
"I think the problem is that whenever any party talks about immigration they use these sort of flashy headline numbers that … appeal hugely to people who want less immigration, terrify everybody who relies on immigration, and we get this sort of big swirling debate and we need to stop doing that," Aging Australia chief Tom Symondson told ABC's Radio National this morning.
The policy wasn't formally costed by the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO), despite senior figures insisting they worked closely with the independent watchdog. Taylor's office modelled the policy and asked the PBO to confirm if it was budget neutral.
The Australian Financial Review reported that Taylor's team had told MPs not to say the migration policy was officially costed. Of course, the PBO can't discuss what it's working on. It declined to comment when this newsletter asked on Wednesday.
It's a far cry from Shadow Home Affairs Minister Jonno Duniam's declaration last month that the Coalition would do the work One Nation failed to do.
He argued this morning that it would be done. Just not right now. That job will be completed closer to election day and by that time Duniam will be well out of the political fray, having confirmed he'll be exiting politics by the end of the year.
The shadow of One Nation looms large over the policy. Both the Coalition and One Nation have used the term "breathing space" to describe why Australia requires the cuts. The blueprint was also released just days before Taylor is scheduled to headline the Conservative Political Action Conference in Brisbane.
He's the first Liberal leader to attend. Flyers promoting CPAC placed the opposition leader in a trio alongside Pauline Hanson and Nationals leader Matt Canavan.