A new
Wall Street Journal analysis found nine major tech companies, including Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle, are carrying roughly $3 trillion in off-balance-sheet commitments tied mostly to AI, on top of what they report in quarterly capex.
Much of that spending runs through
special purpose vehicles. These financing structures let hyperscalers lease data centers built by separate entities so the debt shows up on someone else's books instead of their own, even as they lock in the compute. A separate
Nikkei analysis of five of those companies found their combined off-balance-sheet debt has already swelled
nearly eightfold in four years to $1.65 trillion, exceeding what they report on their actual balance sheets.
A slowdown in AI demand wouldn't just dent Big Tech's earnings, it could ripple through the private credit funds and asset managers that underwrote those lease.—
Lily Mae Lazarus