The Spanish prime minister hosted a glitzy socialist gathering this weekend in Barcelona, flying in leaders from around the world — from Brazil’s Lula to Mexico’s Claudia Sheinbaum — to deliver a rebuke to global MAGA.
The guest list also featured South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, German Vice-Chancellor Lars Klingbeil and former Chilean President Gabriel Boric. Surprisingly, Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro was also present. I say “surprisingly” because a) he rarely travels abroad, and b) a very high-profile European socialist official once told me off the record: “Petro is crazy, just nuts.”
European Council President António Costa cancelled at the last minute citing “personal reasons”, skipping a gathering perhaps seen as too political and overly anti-Trump for a job expected to be neutral.
But the star of the show was, naturally, Pedro Sánchez himself.
As I wrote in March, when I first reported about the conference as Madrid began to draft plans for the gathering, Sánchez is the designated survivor of Spanish politics — a cunning, tactical politician who knows exactly what he is doing.
Sánchez and his entourage are convinced that a significant share of Europeans despises Trump, it's almost visceral, and that his MAGA policies are incompatible with making Europe great again. He also believes that large pool of voters feels politically abandoned and are looking for a leader to embody the anti-Trump.
From Gaza to Iran, migration to NATO, Sánchez's opposition to la política trumpiana has earned him global applause among progressive sectors. In fact, I was struck by how enamoured the Italian socialists have become of Sánchez, seeing in him a reflection of what they aspire the Italian left to be (and isn't).
But it has also earned him the wrath of Donald Trump, who has threatened to impose a full trade blockade on Madrid and cut off all relations. To be clear, Spanish officials told me the White House has not followed up on those threats privately and has not indicated any retaliatory measures on Spanish goods — yet.
The question is whether his international aura will be enough to make up for his weakness back home. Pedro Sánchez is the most polarising prime minister in the history of democratic Spain. The gap between his international recognition and his domestic polling is simply extraordinary.
His government blames it on the Spanish media landscape, which they argue is too skewed to the right. But that premise is slightly disingenuous as the government uses public television to channel its message, and his own scandals and zigzagging have fuelled the perception of a man who lacks integrity and is in it for himself.
This week, just days ahead of the convention, a Madrid judge charged his wife with corruption following a two-year probe. His brother is also facing allegations of misuse of public funds. Sánchez has denied any wrongdoing. His team often points to what it calls a politicised justice system seeking to hurt the prime minister, and achieve in court what it cannot at the ballot box.
A booming economy does not seem to resonate with Spanish voters either. And the Spanish socialist party has lost much of its regional strongholds, which partly explains why the convention was held in Barcelona. There is no path to victory without the Catalans for Pedro Sánchez looking to the 2027 general election.
So while he is lauded abroad, at home he is facing an uphill battle for re-election as not running isn't an option for him. Trump — and the sheer incompetence of the conservative opposition party Partido Popular to establish a strategy — may prove the catalyst he needs to mobilise his base. Sánchez is betting on it. |