A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Tom Westbrook, Deputy Financial Markets Editor

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

Oil futures jumped back over $100 at the open in Asia on Monday, the dollar ‌fell and stocks were down as U.S.-Iran talks collapsed without making progress toward any durable peace.

The U.S. also announced a blockade of Iranian ports, a measure aimed at ratcheting up pressure on Tehran, as well as on the recipients - mainly China - ⁠of Iranian crude. 

 

Today's Market News

  • Confidence among big UK firms plunges to six-year low, Deloitte says
  • Oil leaps, dollar firm and stocks wobble as US-Iran peace talks collapse
  • IPO of Leopard tank maker KNDS must ensure German-French parity, IG Metall's Kerner says
  • German debt brake reform won't happen during current government term, Bild reports
  • Europe should mobilise pensions for capital markets, Swedish minister says
 

Iran's oil exports at risk

A map showing the Strait of Hormuz, also known as Madiq Hurmuz, and 3D printed oil barrels are seen in this illustration taken March 26, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration 

The blockade, experts say, is an act of war that requires an open-ended commitment of a significant number of warships. The cut to global supply, if Iranian exports are removed, would be up to 2 million barrels per day.

Soft commodities also rose sharply on heightened concern about disruption to fuel and fertiliser supplies, and bonds were sold on worries about the ‌risks ⁠to inflation.

Hungary's forint shot higher after the defeat of Viktor Orban at Sunday's election paved the way for European Union funding to flow to Hungary and perhaps Ukraine.

Other reactions in the Asia session to the breakdown of U.S.-Iran talks, however, ⁠were not extreme and sent most asset prices back to where they sat around the middle of last week, before the U.S., Israel and ⁠Iran agreed a ceasefire.

That will leave markets trading the headlines while U.S. earnings season begins in earnest with Goldman Sachs reporting ⁠before the market opens. 

Graphics are produced by Reuters

 
 
 

Key developments that could influence markets on Monday:

  • Hungary election result
  • U.S. earnings: Goldman Sachs
 
 

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

 

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