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By Mark Garrison

April 09, 2026

By Mark Garrison

April 09, 2026

 
 

Good afternoon and welcome to your afternoon news update from AP. Today, the mysterious accounts that profited from bets on the Iran war ceasefire; Republican fears grow as Democrats notch election wins; and why doctors are warning patients about certain menopause products.

 

UP FIRST

President Donald Trump departs after speaking with reporters in the James Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House, Monday, in Washington.

President Donald Trump departs after speaking with reporters in the James Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House, Monday, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) 

Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump’s announcement

A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the U.S. and Iran would reach a ceasefire on April 7, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new customers. These bets were made even though, in the hours before a two-week ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, President Donald Trump’s rhetoric had escalated sharply and there were few signals that a ceasefire deal was imminent. Read more. 

RELATED COVERAGE ➤

  • Shaky ceasefire unlikely to stop cyberattacks from Iran-linked hackers for long
  • Live updates: Iran warns continued Israeli attacks in Lebanon will bring ‘explicit costs and STRONG responses’
  • Lebanon digs for survivors after deadliest day of renewed war between Israel and Hezbollah
  • Pro-Iran groups have used AI to troll Trump and try to control the war narrative
  • Rutte the ‘Trump whisperer’ faces a fresh test as Trump turns on NATO over Iran
 

TOP STORIES

Republicans reckon with Democratic success ahead of the midterms

The bluntest assessment of Republican failures during this week’s elections in Wisconsin came from one of their own. “We got our butts kicked,” said U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, who is running for governor. He was referring to Democratic victories in campaigns for the Wisconsin Supreme Court and the mayor’s office in Waukesha, a conservative suburb outside Milwaukee. But some Republicans were also rattled by a special election in Georgia, where their candidate to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene in Congress won by a much slimmer margin than the party has enjoyed in the past. Taken together, the swings from red to blue added more data points to an increasingly clear picture of Democratic momentum heading into the November midterms. Read more.

RELATED COVERAGE ➤

  • Democrats grow bolder on talk about removing Trump from office after his Iran threats
  • Democratic presidential prospects flock to New York to court activists at Al Sharpton’s conference
  • What one campaign rally in Michigan reveals about young voters ahead of the midterm elections
  • Wisconsin mayor who removed ballot drop box ahead of 2024 elections won’t be charged
  • Era of political violence means higher costs for candidate security, a new report says

Doctors urge women to be wary of the marketing surge in menopause products

Women suffering through the hot flashes, night sweats, mood changes and sleep problems that can come with menopause are being bombarded with products. More open conversations about menopause and perimenopause are happening just as marketing has been supercharged by social media. But doctors say that before spending money on products that make big promises, it’s important for women to talk to their doctors about what has actually been proven to help — and what could be harmful. Read more.

RELATED COVERAGE ➤

  • The FDA removes a long-standing warning from hormone-based menopause drugs
  • Strength training is crucial after menopause. How to make the most of your workouts
 

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IN OTHER NEWS

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Geologist Tuomas Pere walks down a disposal tunnel inside the Posiva Onkalo nuclear waste repository on the island of Olkiluoto, Finland, Feb. 24. (AP Photo/James Brooks) 

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