The Six Nations reaches its Super Saturday finale with the sort of delicious uncertainty organisers, if not teams, dream of: three countries still in with a shot at the title and a handful of historical firsts waiting in the wings.
Last weekend turned the championship on its head. Scotland produced a thunderous upset against France, the title favourites, while Italy added another twist by beating England for the first time. The result is a table balanced on a knife-edge: France and Scotland level on 16 points, with Ireland lurking behind on 14.
France remain favourites. They host England in the final match and carry a commanding points difference, meaning a bonus-point win would seal back-to-back titles. Anything less and the two Celtic nations are poised to pounce.
For the Scots, the stakes are historic. Since the championship expanded in 2000, they have never gone into the final weekend with a realistic chance of winning it, nor have they finished in the top two. To change that, they will likely need victory in Dublin — a venue where they have not won for 16 years — against an Irish side that has beaten them 11 straight times.
Ireland’s path is clear if not simple: defeat Scotland and hope England rediscover something resembling form in Paris.
Judging by England’s ragged displays against Scotland, Ireland and Italy, that may be optimistic. But the English are not as bad a team as their record might suggest. Moreover, another defeat would also mark the first time England have lost four matches in a Six Nations campaign, if any more motivation were needed to stop the rot.
Italy, meanwhile, travel to Wales chasing their own piece of history: three championship wins in a single season.
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