A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Gregor Stuart Hunter, Asia Finance & Markets Breaking News Correspondent

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

It's make-or-break time for British finance minister Rachel Reeves as she unveils later today a budget expected to contain tens of billions of pounds of new tax increases.

Sterling is up 0.2% at $1.3193 in Asian trading, rising for a fifth consecutive day ahead of her speech, due to begin at 1230 GMT.

 

Today's Market News

  • Zelenskiy says Ukraine ready to advance peace plan, will discuss disputed points with Trump
  • US slashes 36% off Medicare spending on 15 high-priced medicines
  • UK's Reeves to test faith of investors and party with tax-heavy budget
  • Alibaba revenue tops estimates with strong instant retail, AI push
  • Exclusive: China's GWM targets 300,000 annual production with first Europe car plant
 

BOJ's hawkish tilt

British Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, visits a Primark store in London, England November 24, 2025. Carl Court/Pool via REUTERS

In Japan, the yen rallied 0.2% against the U.S. dollar as sources told Reuters that the Bank of Japan is preparing markets for a possible interest rate hike as soon as next month, shifting the central bank onto a hawkish footing after a meeting last week between new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda.

Takaichi's high approval ratings are prompting Japanese opposition parties to ramp up preparations for snap elections, the Yomiuri newspaper reported on Wednesday.

The kiwi dollar surged 1.2% after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut interest rates 25 basis points to 2.25%, but removed its dovish guidance, signalling an end to the central bank's easing cycle. And the Australian dollar jumped 0.5% after a hotter-than-expected inflation report reinforced bets that the Reserve Bank of Australia is also done with rate cuts for now.

 

 

Oil recovers, stocks firm

Oil markets have been choppy, after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy signalled he was ready to advance a U.S.-backed peace plan, paving the way for a relaxation of sanctions on Russian energy and additional supplies, sending oil prices tumbling to a five-week low on Tuesday.

But Brent crude futures rebounded 0.4% to $62.72 after U.S. President Donald Trump backed away from a Thursday deadline for Ukraine to agree. Trump also shrugged off a Bloomberg News report that U.S. negotiator Steve Witkoff coached the Russians on how to approach him on the topic.

None of that confusion and volatility troubled equity markets, which enjoyed a broad rebound following cues from Wall Street after the S&P 500 rose for a third consecutive day.

On Wednesday, MSCI's broadest gauge of shares outside of Japan, jumped 1% as traders firmed up expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, while the Nikkei 225 surged 2% on optimism about corporate earnings.

But Hong Kong and China lagged gains, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.5% after earnings from AI front-runner Alibaba that beat estimates, but still left shares down 1.1% as the e-commerce  company underwhelmed investors with its Q4 guidance and said it would decrease spending on its instant commerce business - prompting a 6% gain for rival Meituan.

 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

  • UK: Autumn budget
  • Debt auctions: Germany: 10-year government debt
 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

 

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