The latest from CFR’s RealEcon Initiative
RealEcon

Reimagining American Economic Leadership

Members of the public walk outside the U.S. Supreme Court to attend oral arguments on U.S. President Donald Trump's bid to preserve sweeping tariffs after lower courts ruled that Trump overstepped his authority, in Washington, D.C., U.S., November 5, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard

Facts Matter in the Supreme Court Case on IEEPA Tariffs

The justices would do the nation an injustice if they did not consider that the goods trade deficit and most of its alleged harms are rooted in domestic policy, not trade, writes former U.S. Treasury official and advisor to the CFR RealEcon Initiative James Wallar. Read the piece

The United States Supreme Court building is seen as in Washington, U.S., October 4, 2023. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein/File Photo

U.S. Trade Policy Sends Geopolitical Ripples Through Pacific Rim

Five CFR fellows explain how growing concern with U.S. trade policy among certain Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) members—Chile, China, Peru, Taiwan, and Thailand—will affect U.S. economic and security relationships in the region. Check out the series 

President Donald Trump and other U.S. officials meet with their Chinese counterparts on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Busan, South Korea, October 30, 2025. Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters

Celebrating the Arsonist

CFR President Michael Froman lays out the takeaways from this week’s meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in South Korea. Read his take

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping arrive for talks at the Gimhae Air Base in Busan, South Korea, October 30, 2025. Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images

Trump and Xi Turn Back the Clock—While China Flexes Its Muscles

Although the much-anticipated Trump-Xi meeting produced modest results, it also revealed China’s growing strengths and could set the stage for a more substantive Trump visit to Beijing next year, writes CFR Fellow David Sacks. Check out the post

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping talk as they leave after a bilateral meeting at Gimhae International Airport, on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, in Busan, South Korea, October 30, 2025. Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters

Event

U.S. Tariff and Trade Policy: Takeaways From Trump’s Trip to Asia

CFR Fellows Zongyuan Zoe Liu and Sacks sat down with Matthew P. Goodman, director of the RealEcon Initiative, to share insights from Trump’s recent visit to Asia. Watch the meeting

U.S. President Donald Trump gestures while boarding Air Force One as he departs for Japan at Kuala Lumpur International Airport in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, October 27, 2025. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein

Upcoming Rollout: Task Force on Economic Security

Join CFR’s Task Force on Economic Security for the live-streamed rollout of its important new report, U.S. Economic Security: Winning the Race for Tomorrow’s Technologies, tomorrow, November 13 at 12:30 p.m. EST. 

Watch the livestream

The Task Force—chaired by former Secretary of Commerce Gina M. Raimondo; former Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Justin G. Muzinich; and Chairman, President, and CEO of Lockheed Martin James D. Taiclet, with Jonathan E. Hillman, CFR senior fellow for geoeconomics, as project director—examines how the United States can strengthen its economic security amid rising geopolitical and technological competition. 

 

The full report will be available the same day at cfr.org.

Trade Fun Fact 

What lunch staple served during Trump’s meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae sent a subtle trade message? 

Answer at the bottom of the newsletter

Also on Trade

Who Pays Trump’s Tariffs?

Trump routinely claims that foreigners pay his tariffs, which is false—U.S. importers pay them. Over time, however, foreign exporters can be expected to bear a small but rising burden of the tariffs through price cuts, while most of the cost will be borne by U.S. consumers in the form of higher prices, writes CFR Fellow Benn Steil. Read the brief 

Shipping containers are seen at the port of Oakland, as trade tensions escalate over U.S. tariffs, in Oakland, California, U.S., March 6, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Barria

Trade Tools for Climate Action

The novel Agreement on Climate Change, Trade, and Sustainability balances ambitious environmental targets with domestic economic considerations, offering a blueprint for countries looking to make their economies greener, write CFR Fellow Inu Manak, Research Associate Helena Kopans-Johnson, and former CFR intern Tony Wu. Read the article  

General view of the National Park Tapamti in Orosi, 80 miles (128km) of San Jose May 25, 2007. REUTERS/Juan Carlos Ulate

Tariffs Sour Public Opinion on the U.S. in Chile and Peru

Neither country is likely to become a U.S. priority soon, although closer partnerships with both could help the United States address some of its concerns over critical mineral supply chains, explains CFR Fellow Will Freeman. See the brief

A miner stands among copper production at El Teniente mine, the world’s largest underground copper mine in Machali, near Rancagua, Chile, on April 2. Raul Bravo/AFP/Getty Images

Trump’s Trade Policy Feeds Taiwan’s Growing U.S. Skepticism

Beneath the surface of Taiwan’s pledges to increase U.S. trade ties lies an apprehension about the United States’ ultimate objectives, and what a potential rebalancing of global supply chains would mean for the island’s security, writes Sacks. Read the piece

A cyclist waits for traffic lights in front of the logo of the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) in Hsinchu, Taiwan, April 16, 2025. Daniel Ceng/Getty Images