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Daily News Brief

November 3, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering the conclusion of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit, as well as...

  • Trump’s suggested use of military force in Nigeria

  • The latest on the Israel-Hamas truce
  • Talks between Lebanon and Syria
 
 

Top of the Agenda

APEC countries pledged to boost trade in their Saturday summit declaration, which coincided with Chinese President Xi Jinping’s first official visit to South Korea in over a decade. Both events signaled how Asian countries are trying to maintain open trade relationships amid a wave of U.S. tariffs. The United States is an APEC member as well, but U.S. President Donald Trump left the summit early. Meanwhile, the signing of a new Canada-Philippines military pact over the weekend demonstrated that countries in the region are not uniformly swinging toward China.

 

Though the APEC summit declaration called for “strengthened cooperation,” it still reflected some of Washington’s new skepticism to open trade. Unlike last year, when countries affirmed support for “the rules-based multilateral trading system, with the [World Trade Organization] at its core,” this year’s declaration made no mention of either. 

 

Xi’s official visit to South Korea on Saturday followed the inauguration earlier this year of the country’s new president, Lee Jae-myung, who has pledged to stabilize relations with China. The two countries signed a series of agreements, including a currency swap deal and memorandums of understanding on fighting digital crime and addressing demographic aging. 

 

Additional security partnerships announced in the past few days also underscore some Asian countries’ resistance to pivoting toward China. On Thursday, Trump announced that he had given South Korea approval to build nuclear-powered submarines through a partnership with the United States. Yesterday, the Philippines and Canada signed a pact on defense cooperation that Manila had pursued in a bid to counter China’s assertive stance in the South China Sea. 

 

With Trump having returned early from APEC, the biggest U.S. outcome from international gatherings in South Korea remains the U.S.-China tariff detente. The White House published details of that agreement Saturday, including stepdowns from both countries on tariffs and export controls and a Chinese pledge to buy more U.S. soybeans. 

 
 

“The biggest blink of all would be [for the United States] to mistake dealmaking, and the pursuit of a ‘grand bargain,’ for a sound grand strategy. The risk of seeking a ‘new deal’ with China is that we trade away strategic interests, such as Taiwan, for ephemeral Chinese promises and short-term surges in commodity exports... A winning American strategy demands acknowledging the stark limitations of our ability to influence China’s behavior, defining a space in which we can coexist with China, all the while competing successfully within the structural bounds of great-power relations.”

—CFR President Michael Froman, The World This Week

 

America’s Next Battlefield

Crowd watched a military drone flying.

The tools and tactics of warfare have changed in the past decade, so the U.S. military has to adapt to be able to deter a great-power war, Archer Strategic Consulting’s Thomas Shugart says on this episode of The President’s Inbox.

Listen here
 
 

Across the Globe

No U.S. nuclear explosions. Trump’s order last week to resume U.S. nuclear testing was not referring to nuclear explosions but rather to “other parts of a nuclear weapon,” Energy Secretary Chris Wright told Fox yesterday. Trump called for testing “on an equal basis” with China and Russia, the latter of which recently said it tested a nuclear-capable missile and submarine. 

 

Transfer of hostage remains. Hamas handed over the bodies of three Israeli hostages yesterday as part of an ongoing truce, while an Israeli strike killed one person in Gaza. On Saturday, the U.S. chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff met with Israel’s defense minister to discuss the situation in Gaza. 

 

Floating U.S. force in Nigeria. Trump on Saturday threatened to cut off aid and authorize military action in Nigeria to stop killings of Christians there. Trump accused the Nigerian government of allowing the killings to take place and warned the U.S. military could go in “guns-a-blazing.” Islamist insurgent groups have been active in the country for years, though the majority of their victims are Muslim. An advisor to Nigeria’s president said Abuja welcomed U.S. assistance fighting insurgents “as long as it recognizes our territorial integrity.”

 

OPEC+ to pause increases. Eight OPEC+ countries announced that they will halt production increases in the first quarter of 2026, as some forecasters warn of an oversupply of oil on global markets. The countries said they will raise production the same amount for December as they did in recent months. It is still not clear how recent U.S. sanctions on Russian oil will affect its global sales.

 

U.S.-China channel. The two countries agreed to establish military-to-military communication channels in order to “deconflict and de-escalate” any problems, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced Saturday. Direct high-level communication between the two militaries has been rare since China pulled back from military talks in 2022 over U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan.

 

Lebanon-Syria talks. Senior officials from the two countries held talks yesterday in Bahrain, where Syria’s foreign ministry said they sought to improve both political and security ties. The countries have a history of strained relations, as Syria occupied Lebanon from 1976 to 2005 and Hezbollah fighters participated in Syria’s civil war. With relatively new governments in place in both countries, their leaders have pledged to improve bilateral relations.

 

Melissa’s aftermath. Twenty-eight people in Jamaica died in the wake of Hurricane Melissa, authorities said Saturday. “The scale of destruction is unlike anything we have seen in decades,” Prime Minister Andrew Holness wrote on social media today. Emergency responders have been blocked from accessing parts of the island due to debris. U.S. disaster relief workers, including at least three army helicopters, have been deployed to the country.

 

Mexican mayor killed. Carlos Manzo, a mayor who had vocally criticized drug cartels in Mexico’s avocado capital of Uruapan, was shot and killed during a public festival over the weekend. Manzo had already been under federal protection due to threats against him. President Claudia Sheinbaum called an emergency cabinet meeting yesterday and pledged to pursue justice. 

 
 

Nuclear Security on the Silver Screen

U.S. military monitors an operational test launch of an unarmed Minuteman III missile at Vandenberg Air Force Base in 2017.

Michael Peterson/U.S. Air Force/Reuters

The new film A House of Dynamite gets many details right about what would unfold if a nuclear missile were launched at the United States, CFR expert Erin Dumbacher explains in this interview.  

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, Turkey is hosting a meeting of foreign ministers to discuss the next steps in the Gaza peace plan.

  • Today, the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference begins.

  • Today, local government officials from around the world attend a climate action summit in Rio de Janeiro.

 
 

Investing in Girls Is Investing in Global Security

Girls, who escaped forced marriages, are seen at the Catholic nuns' shelter, Sainte Maria Goretti, where they now live in Kaya, Burkina Faso February 23, 2022.

Anne Mimault/Reuters

For years, Democrats and Republicans agreed that funding efforts to combat child marriage was a national security concern. The United States needs to continue to lead the fight, Stephanie Mulhern Ogorzalek, a former State Department and White House gender policy official, writes for Women Around the World.

 
 

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