 Data: Climate Central; Map: Axios Visuals. Note: The 75th percentile temperature is based on the 1991-2020 reference period. Summer temperatures are hanging around longer in the Valley and nationwide compared with in the early 1970s, a new analysis finds, as climate change affects all four seasons. Why it matters: Temperatures staying high for longer periods can increase cooling demand (and cost) and prolong the risk of heat-related illnesses. - Longer summers also elevate the risk of wildfires by drying out vegetation and soil, creating more fuel for blazes.
Zoom in: Summer temperatures are lasting an extra eight days on average in Phoenix compared to 1970, according to a new report from Climate Central, a climate research group. - In Tucson, warm weather's sticking around an extra 24 days — one of the most significant increases among U.S. cities.
How it works: Climate Central's analysis is based on NOAA data and reflects the last date each year with highs equal to or greater than historical summer-like temperatures. - The group defined "summer-like temperatures" as the 75th percentile of daily highs during the 1991-2000 climate normal.
Flashback: Last year, extreme heat continued in the Valley into fall with the National Weather Service recording temperatures above 110° in October for the first time on record. - Previously, the latest we'd ever seen 110° was Sept. 19, in 2010.
State of play: Summer-like temperatures aren't just lasting longer — they're getting hotter. - So far, this September's temperatures are about a degree above average and each of the past three Septembers have seen above-average temperatures, NWS Phoenix meteorologist Katherine Berislavich told us.
- Last year, September temperatures were 5.4 degrees higher than average, she said.
By the numbers: Heat-related deaths in Maricopa County appear to be down this summer compared with last, though deaths are still trending much higher than a decade ago. What's next: We are likely done with 110-degree days, but the Climate Prediction Center is still forecasting higher-than-normal temperatures in Phoenix for the weeks and months ahead, Berislavich said. Go deeper
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