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Today’s Agenda

Battles on Battles

Welp. President Donald Trump is suing the New York Times. Am I surprised? No. Is the legal fight gonna go anywhere? Perhaps not — it should be thrown out, in Stephen L. Carter’s opinion. But that’s not the only battle he’s inserting himself into.

In a letter to NATO members, Trump said he’s ready to “do sanctions” against Russia — a potential game-changer in the war in Ukraine, which, in the words of the president, “is not TRUMP’S WAR ... it is Biden’s and Zelenskyy’s WAR.” Marc Champion says “it’s hard to know whether Trump is genuine, or by setting the bar so high is just looking for another way to avoid responsibility for his de facto abandonment of Ukraine.” Meanwhile in Gaza, Israel launched a major ground offensive, which the Bloomberg editorial board has argued could prove disastrous

Between two wars and the upcoming battle to retain control of the House and Senate, the president has a lot on his plate. Does he really need to pick a fight with the Times? “It should be exceptionally difficult for those who serve in government to sue their critics; for presidents, it should be hardest of all,” Stephen writes. After reading the lengthy complaint, which seeks $15 billion in damages, Stephen found very little rationale in the president’s litany of grievances: “Nearly everything cited is either fair comment, opinion, or for other reasons not actionable.”

On a day that the president sues the press, I find it ironic that David M. Drucker has written a rather favorable analysis of how “Trump is not as unpopular as his opponents think.” Not getting a lawsuit with that one, phew!! In all seriousness, reading Trump’s complaints, you’d have thought his reputation was toast — and it is in some circles — but David says his overall approval rating is hovering around the mid-40s, which is not too shabby, especially in such a polarized political climate.

“There is zero doubt that Trump is in a better position now than he was at this point in his first presidency,” CNN polling expert Harry Enten told David. Even so, David says “this November’s key off-year contests and the 2026 midterm elections may not go well for the Republican Party; historically, the president’s party loses ground in both. But it’s not necessarily a shellacking, or a thumping, in the making.”

Trump appears to understand his party’s precarious situation. On Tuesday afternoon, he announced the GOP’s newfangled “Midterm Convention,” which sounds like a Temu version of the RNC to me. Alas, such an event would need to compete for airtime with the many wars going on.

All This Drama Over One Meeting?

The one mildly amusing aspect of Trump’s crusade against Fed Governor Lisa Cook is that all this drama has boiled down to a single meeting, which feels like an absurd use of legal resources and time. I know, I know — her job is on the line, as is the entire concept of central bank independence. But when the DC Circuit Court of Appeals denied the White House’s bid to fire Cook before today’s meeting, the big takeaway wasn’t any of that: it was simply that she could attend the big rate-cut meetup.

Now that we know she’s attending, John Authers wishes he could be a fly on the wall for a meeting that “had an element of suspense like few others in history. With only hours to go, there was genuine uncertainty over who would vote. This drama was never going to have more than a minimal impact on the outcome — but the longer term implications are profound,” he writes. The other variable was Stephen Miran, who was appointed late Monday. Having previously insulted his new colleagues, one imagines his first day on the job was no walk in the park.

As for Cook, her governorship is far from secure. After the DC Circuit’s rejection, the administration intends to take the case to the Supreme Court. If the justices want to preserve the Fed’s agency, Noah Feldman says they “should recognize this challenge to the court’s authority for what it is and deny the request.”

Bonus Fed Day Reading: Stagflation is the Fed’s worst nightmare, and it could be on the way. — Bloomberg editorial board

Certified Climate Freaks

Are there any normal people working in climate science? I ask because some of these ideas for cooling the planet seem like they’d be better suited for an indie sci-fi video game than real life. Here’s a list so you can see what I’m talking about:

  • Sea curtains: 80 kilometers of undersea drapes that block warm water — and, oops, cruise ships — from hitting the poles. Material TBD, but probably not your mom’s floral jacquard.
  • Hollow glass beads: Zillions of tiny silica orbs scattered over Arctic ice to reflect sunlight. Just one minor snag — we’d need to produce 360 megatons annually.
  • Thickening sea ice: Pump seawater onto the Arctic with 100 million hoses until it freezes. Sounds like the world’s least-exciting water park.
  • Stratospheric aerosol injection: Spew sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere to dim the sun and create the Earth’s biggest pair of sunglasses. Too bad they can’t shield us from acid rain.

Lara Williams says these kinds of geoengineering moonshots risk distracting us from the urgent need to decarbonize. “At what point should research be halted?” she asks. Read the whole thing to find out.

Telltale Charts

Is China’s crush on the developing world flaming out? For the past five or so years, Beijing has been trying to butter up developing nations with eye-watering investments to gain advantage, but the strategy appears to backfiring. In Mexico, Juan Pablo Spinetto says President Claudia Sheinbaum’s new slate of tariffs on more than 1,400 products including cars, auto parts and clothing “amount to a direct slap at China.” Juliana Liu says many other countries will be looking to announce similar levies “as the world grapples with the consequences of ‘China Speed 2.0’ hitting their shores.” Nobody wants the big guy to eat their lunch:

The countries choosing to distance themselves from China have pretty spectacular timing, considering Shuli Ren says we may very well be on the precipice of an emerging market renaissance. “This asset class has been unloved for over a decade, hurt by a strong greenback,” she writes. But that all could change: “The dollar is down more than 10% from its January peak, but many fear the worst is not behind us. This is because historically, the US currency has exhibited a pattern of long major cycles, with bull and bear phases typically lasting around a decade. In other words, when it rains, it pours.”

Further Reading

At his Congressional hearing, Kash Patel performed for an audience of one. — Nia-Malika Henderson

The public won’t see the eye-rolling when the Trumps dine at Windsor. — Max Hastings

Proposing to allow companies to ditch quarterly earnings reports is neither crazy nor new. — Allison Schrager

Anti-Americanism is a liability for companies like McDonald’s and Levi Strauss. — Beth Kowitt

US producers are breaking Beijing’s stranglehold on the market for rare earths. — Thomas Black

ICYMI

And the best business school goes to…

Robert Redford was a Hollywood legend.

Charlie Kirk shooting suspect was charged.

An update in the Luigi Mangione trial.

Kickers

The queen of toddler TV is in her “advocacy era.”

Costco recalls bottles of bubbly. (h/t Lisa Jarvis)

Kneecaps make memorable heirloom jewelry. (h/t Mark Gongloff)

LimeWire beat Ryan Reynolds to acquire Fyre Festival.

Paul Mescal is trying his best to break your heart.

Notes: Please send statement jewels and feedback to Jessica Karl at jkarl9@bloomberg.net.

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