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Good morning. As Washington and Beijing navigate an uneasy truce, Dan Wang – the author of a new book on the superpowers – argues that Canada risks drifting without the ambition or power to shape its place between them. That’s in focus today – along with a new report showing more Americans are travelling to Canada than vice versa.
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Trade: Canada’s canola industry is facing steep losses and urging Ottawa to compensate farmers after Beijing announced a 75.8-per-cent preliminary duty on Canadian canola seed.
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Travel: The union representing about 10,000 Air Canada flight attendants has issued 72-hour strike notice
and could walk off the job at 12:58 a.m. ET on Saturday if a deal isn’t reached after talks broke down last night. The airline says it will begin cancelling flights tomorrow.
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Underwear: (And other inner garments.) Montreal-based Gildan Activewear is reportedly nearing a deal to buy Hanesbrands, potentially valuing the U.S. company at about $5-billion.
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- The Bank of Canada releases its summary of deliberations from its last rate decision. The bank held its benchmark rate and is widely expected to keep it at 2.75 per cent at its September meeting.
- Earnings we’re following today include Metro Inc., Hudbay Minerals Inc. and Linamar Corp.
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“They’re willing to support other industries in Canada. I sure hope they don’t forget about us.” — Alberta canola farmer Roger Chevraux, on calls for financial support from the federal government |
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Dan Wang is currently a research fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover History Lab. matjaz tancic/Supplied
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Canada’s ambition gap and the U.S.-China rivalry
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Dan Wang has spent parts of his life in Canada, the U.S. and China. His forthcoming book, Breakneck: China’s Quest to Engineer the Future, contrasts China’s “engineering state” with America’s “lawyerly society.” Wang, now a research fellow at Stanford’s Hoover History Lab, spoke to me about where Canada fits and how smaller countries can navigate between two superpowers.
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You describe China as an “engineering state” and the U.S. as a “lawyerly society.” Where does Canada fit?
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China’s leadership has been dominated by engineers. In some years, the standing committee of the Politburo have all been engineering graduates. Half of U.S. presidents are lawyers. Superpowers narrow their view when they specialize, and that is part of why they are superpowers in the first place.
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Canada, as a more reasonably sized country, is maybe more reasonable in all sorts of ways. But its power doesn’t measure up to the big players. At some point, it either has to build more of it or reconcile to that fact.
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Smaller powers like Canada and European allies are often described as caught between two giants. Is there a model for success?
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The U.K. has strengths in research and artificial intelligence. Singapore, essentially a big city-state, has carved out a role as a financial, logistics and tech hub. South Korea – not much bigger than Canada in population – is a technological powerhouse and a producer of global pop culture.
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These countries straddle the U.S. and China effectively. Canada has to ask whether it’s in that league. Part of the answer comes down to power. Military power isn’t the only kind, but financial, technological and geopolitical power matter. The question is whether Canada has any of these in enough supply to deter either giant from stepping too hard on it.
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Some argue Canada’s situation is different because of its geography – right above the U.S., which is unlikely to change any time soon. Do you buy that as a fatal limitation?
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I don’t think that’s enough. Proximity to the U.S. shouldn’t mean it lets its power dissolve. South Korea has maintained cultural and technological power despite living next to a very threatening neighbour.
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Has relying on the U.S. for security made countries like Canada less strategic?
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Europe and Canada have not had to think as deeply about strategy because they’ve been so aligned with the U.S. That’s made it easier to let the Americans take care of security. But countries need to recover their ability to think hard about strategy and power.
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Much of your work examines how China uses infrastructure as a lever of ambition. Canada often struggles to build big projects quickly or affordably. What lessons can we take without importing China’s politics?
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In both the U.S. and China, there’s a strong national security consciousness. The military has outsized influence – in the U.S., the defence secretary can outweigh other cabinet members, and (President) Xi Jinping chairs the Central Military Commission in China.
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Both countries are dynamic and allow for a lot of ambition. In Canada, many of my more ambitious friends moved to New York or San Francisco. Some came back, but many felt |