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Trying to shred climate consensus |
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Today’s newsletter looks at a new US Department of Energy report that downplays global warming. You can read and share the full version of this story on Bloomberg.com. For unlimited access to climate and energy news, please subscribe 

Trying to shred consensus

By Brian KahnDanielle Bochove, and Leslie Kaufman

A new report from the US Department of Energy says projections of future global warming are exaggerated, while benefits from higher levels of carbon dioxide such as more productive farms are overlooked. It concludes, at odds with the scientific mainstream, that policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions risk doing more harm than good. 

Released Tuesday, the report is part of an effort by the Trump administration to try to end the US government’s authority to regulate greenhouse gases. It’s the output of scientists known for contradicting the consensus embodied in volumes of research by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, whose work is approved by virtually every nation. 

Publishing an alternate approach to the science of global warming on the same day that the Environmental Protection Agency said it plans to revoke the endangerment finding — a determination that greenhouse gases harm public health and welfare — marks a step up in the administration’s war on regulations. Since its adoption in 2009, the endangerment finding has become the bedrock of many US environmental rules. 

EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin said repealing the finding would “end $1 trillion or more in hidden taxes on American businesses and families.” 

Climate experts say it will hobble the country’s efforts to rein in rising temperatures and lessen the impacts, such as more intense storms, droughts and wildfires. The federal government’s own research shows climate-fueled extreme weather is already causing $150 billion in losses a year in the US. 

In its proposed rule to nix the finding, the EPA references the Energy Department’s report more than two dozen times. Energy Secretary Chris Wright wrote in the report’s foreword that he had commissioned it and selected the authors to form a working group. 

Chris Wright Photographer: Kent Nishimura/Bloomberg

The new report’s authors include Steven Koonin, a fellow at Stanford’s Hoover Institution who wrote a 2021 booking arguing that climate science is “unsettled”; Roy Spencer, a University of Alabama in Huntsville scientist and senior fellow at the climate-denying group Cornwall Alliance; and Judith Curry, a climatologist formerly of Georgia Tech who testified to a Senate committee in 2023 that climate change has been mischaracterized as a crisis. 

An Energy Department spokesperson said the report’s authors “represent diverse viewpoints and political backgrounds and are all well-respected and highly credentialed individuals.” The spokesperson added that the report “was reviewed internally by a group of DOE scientific researchers and policy experts from the Office of Science and National Labs,” and that there will be a 30-day comment period for the public to weigh in. 

A group of researchers is putting together a response to the report, according to Texas A&M scientist Andrew Dessler, who announced the effort on the social media site Bluesky on Thursday. The response will call out data omissions and misrepresentations, he said. 

Ann Carlson, an environmental law professor at the University of California at Los Angeles, said the report presents a series of arguments the administration can draw on to contend “public health and welfare is not endangered by emissions that come from the auto sector, from the trucking sector, from the electricity sector.” 

Rather than denying climate change is occurring, Carlson said, “What they’re trying to say instead is, ‘Well, it’s not so bad. It’s really expensive to mitigate. And that expense actually harms people more than anything we could do” to slow it down. That’s in keeping with past comments by members of Trump’s cabinet that have downplayed global warming or public concern about it. Carlson said the report is “a wholesale assault” on climate science and previous policy. 

A police vehicle drives past active fire during the Palisades Fire in Los Angeles on Jan. 7. Photographer: Kyle Grillot/Bloomberg

The EPA will have to go through the lengthy federal rulemaking process to try to abolish the endangerment finding. If the proposed rule is finalized, legal challenges are inevitable. The issue could end up before the Supreme Court, which ruled in 2007’s Massachusetts v. EPA that greenhouse gases were pollutants the EPA could regulate under the Clean Air Act. 

Getting the court, which now has a conservative supermajority, to overturn the 2007 decision may be the endgame, said Carlson. The effort would be risky but could succeed, she said. 

“I think on every front, the arguments that the [EPA] administrator is going to make — based on the DOE report — are extremely weak,” said Carlson. “But we also have a court that’s very hostile to environmental regulation.”

Read and share the full version of this story on Bloomberg.com. 

Getting wind knocked out

3.5 million
This is how many acres of US federal waters that will no longer be set aside for offshore wind development, after the Trump administration revoked approval this week. 

Who says they're ugly? 

"These giants are standing tall against fossil fuels — rising up out of the ocean like a middle finger to CO2."
Samuel L. Jackson 
In a one-minute video released by Swedish energy company Vattenfall AB on Wednesday, actor Samuel L. Jackson  campaigned for offshore wind farms, marking the latest area of disagreement between the Pulp Fiction star and US President Donald Trump.

More from Green

Artificial intelligence is giving some climate research projects a much-needed boost at a time of worsening extreme weather and funding cuts that threaten science in the US and elsewhere.

While generative AI faces criticism due to the large amounts of power required to train and run sophisticated models, it also holds the promise of advancing science.

“It’s a gigantic step forward,” says Ángel Borja, a biologist at AZTI marine research center in northern Spain. “It will allow us to process data and get results much faster, so people that make decisions can act faster, too.”

Researchers are teaching existing AI models and creating new ones to perform routine tasks that would require several people to work for weeks or even months. Data gathered in scientific expeditions from the bottom of the oceans to the farthest corners of Antarctica can now be catalogued in a matter of hours.

Read more on how marine scientists, weather forecasters and even bee researchers are using AI as their new lab assistant. 

A bumble bee and honey bee  Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

Worth a listen

In 2019, a group of law students from Pacific island nations set in motion a case that made it to the world’s highest court: The International Court of Justice.

The students wanted answers to two important questions: what responsibility do countries have to stop climate change? And if countries don’t stop polluting, will they have to pay for the damages?

Now the ICJ has delivered its verdict, and it seems like a huge win for the climate. But is it? Laura Clarke, chief executive officer of legal non-profit ClientEarth, joins Akshat Rathi on the Zero podcast to discuss.

Listen now, and subscribe on AppleSpotify, or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

People gather on a pier in Tanna, Vanuatu in December 2019. Photographer: Mario Tama/Getty Images AsiaPac

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