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Daily News Brief

July 10, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcements, as well as...

  • A Ukraine diplomacy shift
  • Trade talks with African leaders in Washington
  • New developments in Gaza ceasefire negotiations
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Trump continued to threaten new tariffs on countries around the world yesterday, due to go into effect August 1. He reserved the most extreme message for Brazil, which he threatened with a 50 percent tariff in a letter that also objected to charges against the country’s former right-wing president Jair Bolsonaro. Seven other countries also received letters informing them of new tariffs.

 

Standoff with Brazil. 

  • Trump linked Brazil’s steep 50 percent tariff to the trial of Bolsonaro, who was charged with inciting a coup to overturn his 2022 election loss. 
  • The letter denounced the trial as a “witch hunt” and called on current Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to “end [it] IMMEDIATELY.” Trump also took issue with fines against social media companies, including the Elon Musk-owned X, by Brazil’s Supreme Court.
  • The Brazilian president responded with a strong statement, calling Brazil a “sovereign country with independent institutions that will not accept being lectured by anyone.” 
  • Lula vowed to take countermeasures under the country’s newly adopted economic reciprocity law, which enables suspended trade and investment against countries that hurt Brazil’s competitiveness. 
  • The United States has generally had a trade surplus with Brazil; Trump has made false claims that there is a deficit. That surplus was $7.4 billion in 2024. 

 

The big picture. 

  • More threatened tariffs: The other countries informed yesterday by the United States about new August 1 tariffs were Algeria, Brunei, Iraq, Libya, Moldova, the Philippines, and Sri Lanka. Those countries are not significant trading partners and the letters did not comment on their internal politics. Trump also said yesterday that a blanket 50 percent tariff on copper would take effect the same day.
  • Attempts at influence: This week’s clash with Brazil is not the first time Trump used trade as a tool to pressure other countries’ domestic policies since retaking office. He previously tied tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico to migration and fentanyl trafficking and threatened Colombia with tariffs when the country at first declined to receive deportees.
 
 

“If the price of trading with the United States is hewing to Trump’s political line, there will be a set of countries that eventually opt out of trading with the United States (commodity exporters in particular, as they rely less on the United States market).” 

—CFR expert Brad W. Setser

 

Ending the War in Ukraine

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a press conference during the NATO summit in The Hague, Netherlands.

Piroschka Van De Wouw/Reuters

To deliver on his promise to end the Russia-Ukraine war, Trump will need to offer Russia sticks as well as carrots, CFR expert Charles A. Kupchan writes in this article.

 
 

Across the Globe

Russia-Ukraine escalation. Moscow launched large-scale drone attacks over Ukraine for the second night in a row, seemingly signaling a change in its war tactics. Yesterday’s attack was concentrated in Kyiv, where two people were killed and nearly every district of the Ukrainian capital was damaged, according to Ukrainian President Volodmyr Zelenskyy. Zelenskyy met with Pope Leo yesterday, who proposed the Vatican as a potential site of peace talks with Russia.

 

Ukraine diplomacy shakeup. The country will replace its ambassador to the United States, Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha confirmed yesterday. The move is an attempt to strengthen ties with the Trump administration as Zelenskyy continues to lobby the United States for more aid. Oksana Markarova had served in the post for four years and has been criticized by some Republicans. Sybiha said she was “extremely effective” and “one of our most successful ambassadors.” 

 

African leaders in Washington. Presidents from Gabon, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mauritania, and Senegal met with Trump for a summit yesterday. The White House said the talks were focused on “commercial opportunities” and indicated that Trump hoped to emphasize trade over aid in relations on the continent. Several major African economies including Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa were not invited, however; those counties are partners in the BRICS alliance, which Trump has criticized in recent days.

 

Gaza ceasefire negotiations. Hamas said yesterday that it would release ten hostages as a signal of its “commitment to the success” of peace talks. The announcement came as Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met in Washington. White House envoy Steve Witkoff reportedly said the sides had reached a breakthrough in three out of four areas of disagreement, Axios reported. Witkoff expressed hope for a deal this week; he is expected to travel to Qatar but delayed a Tuesday departure, according to the Times of Israel. 

 

PKK leader’s message. Abdullah Öcalan, the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), announced the “voluntary” end of the banned militant group’s armed struggle with Turkey in a video message yesterday. In its place, he called for a transition to a “phase of democratic politics and law.” Tens of thousands of people have been killed in the group’s insurgency, which dates back to 1980. The PKK disbanded in May of this year at Öcalan’s request.    

 

Korean ex-president’s arrest. A court in South Korea authorized another arrest warrant for the country’s former President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was removed from office in April after being impeached over a 2024 martial law decree. Yoon was returned to a Seoul detention center after the decision, which was based on the court’s acceptance of a special prosecutor’s argument that there was a risk he would tamper with evidence.  

 

Europe’s heatwave. Scientists estimate that close to 2,300 people died across twelve major Western European cities during a recent heatwave. The extreme temperatures have also caused wildfires around the continent affecting thousands: more than 18,000 people were locked down in the Spanish region of Catalonia earlier this week, while more than 100 were hurt in fires in France. Greece shuttered major tourist attractions due to blazes around Athens.


Mexico’s firefighters in Texas. Volunteer first responders from Mexico have arrived in the United States over recent days to aid search and rescue efforts during devastating floods in the U.S. border state. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum praised the volunteer’s efforts. Firefighters from the country also went to California in January during the Los Angeles wildfires. 

 
 

The Kurds’ Long Struggle With Statelessness

A woman fighter stands guard during a joint security operation for Syria’s Kurdish Internal Security Police Force.

Delil Souleiman/AFP/Getty Images

The Kurds are one of the world’s largest peoples without a state, making up sizable minorities in Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Turkey. Their century-old fight for rights, autonomy, and an independent Kurdistan has been marked by marginalization and persecution, CFR editors write in this timeline.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, the United States’ and Russia’s top diplomats are set to meet in Kuala Lumpur. 
  • Today, China’s premier is in Egypt to deepen ties with the BRICS ally and U.S. partner.
  • Tomorrow, Russia's foreign minister visits North Korea.
  • Tomorrow, Bosnia marks the thirtieth anniversary of the Srebrenica genocide. 
 
 

The Elusive Ceasefire in Gaza

The President's Inbox

Elliott Abrams, senior fellow for Middle Eastern studies at CFR, sits down with James M. Lindsay to discuss ongoing efforts to bring about a ceasefire in Gaza and the war’s ripple effects across the Middle East in the latest episode of The President’s Inbox.

Listen
 
 

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