Our Final 2025 Emmy Nomination Predictions |
Pencils are down, which means predictions are up. It’s been a long Emmy season filled with surprise breakouts and even more surprising flameouts, with still much shrouded in mystery. Given that there’s no more campaigning to be done, who’s officially making the cut when noms are announced on July 15?
I’m David Canfield, excited to reveal Vanity Fair’s official predictions for the 2025 Emmy nominations. This is an unusual year in which new shows have emerged as front-runners in each of the major categories: in comedy, Seth Rogen’s blistering Hollywood satire, The Studio; in drama, the beloved medical throwback The Pitt; and in limited, the searing conversation-starter Adolescence.
We’re projecting that each show will land at least three nominations apiece for its actors alone, so, yes, they’re in it to win it. While Adolescence is in a league of its own, The Pitt and The Studio are each locked in a tight battle with some returning favorites. The Pitt will need to fend off Severance, which, after a very long break between seasons, improbably surged this past winter, while The Studio must contend with the reigning comedy champ, Hacks, which is sure to again pull in a ton of nominations.
If you read this column regularly, none of that will surprise you. The emergence of this freshman class, shows hearkening back to an earlier era of TV while speaking starkly to modern anxieties, has been the story of this TV season. But our prediction list also contains unexpected choices like Nathan Fielder for directing the gonzo second season of The Rehearsal and Renée Zellweger for her starring role in Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy. Because yes, a movie that grossed $139.5 million at the global box office is somehow Emmy-eligible; thanks, Peacock!
The effort of simply defining what counts as TV—particularly, great TV—remains as strange as ever. So let’s take a guess at what the Television Academy came up with. |
