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Daily News Brief

June 27, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering the latest diplomatic updates from the Mideast, as well as...

  • New progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations
  • Russia’s capture of a Ukrainian lithium deposit
  • Plans to sign a Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)-Rwanda peace deal
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Washington has doubled down on diplomacy with both Israel and Iran as a ceasefire among the countries continues to hold. The Donald Trump administration continues to be in “close communication” with the Iranians, the White House press secretary said yesterday, though Iran’s foreign minister said that Tehran does not currently have plans to meet with Washington next week. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said yesterday that the aftermath of Israel-Iran hostilities presents “an opportunity for a dramatic widening” of talks, mentioning the ongoing conflict in Gaza.

 

In Iran: 

  • Iran, Israel, and the United States continue to parse damage assessments from recent U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Yesterday, the head of the UN nuclear watchdog Rafael Grossi said that the centrifuges at Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility were “no longer operational.” 
  • U.S. and international officials have issued varying reports about the fate of Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium. The White House said yesterday that there was “no indication” that any of the enriched uranium was moved ahead of the U.S. strikes—contradicting Grossi’s assessment this week that “the evidence points to their moving out a lot of it.”

In Gaza: 

  • An unnamed Hamas official told the BBC that mediators had increased efforts to broker a Gaza ceasefire in recent days. Earlier this week, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff said he believed an agreement between Israel and Hamas was “very close.”
  • Israel announced a two-day suspension of food aid deliveries in northern Gaza, where the United Nations has been handling logistics. Netanyahu said Hamas had been hijacking aid in the area; the World Health Organization director said its aid had been traveling “without any looting incident.”
  • Separately, unnamed Israeli military members told Haaretz that they had been ordered to shoot toward unarmed Gazans waiting for aid in the territory and that recent military investigations of harm to civilians had covered only a small fraction of cases. An Israeli military spokesperson said the military works to enable aid distribution and that it recently issued new instructions following reports of harm to civilians.

 
 

“The global effects and certainly the regional effects  [of strikes in Iran] here have potential for all sorts of escalation…To find some sort of peaceful resolution, both parties have to find something that is mutually enticing to them to say ‘we will lay down our arms.’ Finding what those enticing opportunities are—both from a U.S. perspective, from an Israeli perspective, and of course also from an Israeli and Iranian perspective—will be the major question moving forward.”

—CFR expert Erin Dumbacher on The President’s Inbox

 

Eastern Congo: Peace and Theory

U.S. officials look on as representatives from the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda initial a peace agreement in Washington, DC on June 18, 2025.

@UnderSecStateP/X

The peace agreement for eastern DRC brokered by the United States and Qatar is a long way from conflict termination, CFR expert Michelle Gavin writes for Africa in Transition.

 
 

Across the Globe

U.S.-China deal inked. Washington and Beijing signed an economic deal originally discussed last month in Geneva, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told Bloomberg yesterday. He said that the United States would remove unspecified “countermeasures” on China once China delivered rare earths to the United States; China’s commerce ministry said today that Beijing would approve export restrictions for certain unspecified items. Lutnick also said the United States would finalize trade deals with several countries in the coming two weeks.

 

DRC-Rwanda peace agreement. Foreign ministers from both countries are due to sign a peace deal in Washington today alongside U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the State Department said; Trump is also expected to meet with the officials in the Oval Office. The three countries said the deal would cover “respect for territorial integrity and a prohibition of hostilities” and disarming “non-state armed groups,” without giving further details.

 

Russian seizure of lithium. Russian forces in recent days have captured an area in eastern Ukraine that is home to a deposit of lithium, independent groups tracking the war said. Russian control of the area complicates a U.S. and Ukrainian plan to co-develop Ukraine’s mineral resources following a potential end to the war. The deposit is under one square mile in size but has high concentrations of the mineral.

 

Asian defense disagreements. A defense ministers meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization ended without a joint statement because members could not agree on language regarding terrorism, India’s foreign minister said yesterday. The ten-country group also includes China, Pakistan, and Russia; its meeting was the first time senior officials from India and Pakistan appeared on the same stage since the air war between the countries in May.

 

Thailand-Cambodia border visits. Thailand’s prime minister and Cambodia’s former prime minister visited different areas of their shared border yesterday following a recent deadly flare-up between soldiers in the area. In the wake of the incident, Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra is facing plans for a parliamentary no confidence vote and calls to step down.

 

India-U.S. trade talks. A delegation of Indian trade envoys has arrived in Washington for two days of talks, unnamed sources told multiple news outlets. The office of the U.S. Trade Representative and India’s trade ministry did not immediately comment. India is among the many countries seeking a deal with the United States ahead of a July 9 deadline, when tariffs are set to increase. So far, the bilateral discussions have reportedly hit friction over a U.S. demand that India open its market to genetically modified crops. 

 

Ecuadorian crime boss captured. Ecuadorian authorities plan to extradite drug boss José Adolfo “Fito” Macías Villamar to the United States after his capture by security forces this week, President Daniel Noboa said. Macías Villamar was accused of ordering the killing of an Ecuadorian presidential candidate in 2023. The United States helped track the former fugitive after his recent escape from a maximum security prison, an unnamed senior Ecuadorian police official told the Washington Post. 

 

French pushback on climate target. The European Commission’s executive vice president said today that a French proposal to delay the roll out of the European Union (EU)’s 2040 climate target was “a mistake.” French President Emmanuel Macron suggested delaying publication of the target yesterday to ensure it is in line with the bloc’s competitiveness. The EU is also due this year to announce a separate 2035 climate goal as part of UN climate negotiations; that target could be less ambitious if the EU’s 2040 commitment is delayed.

 
 

Is a Coup Coming Soon in Thailand?

Thailand's Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra looks on after a cabinet meeting at the Government House in Bangkok

Chalinee Thirasupa/Reuters

The country’s military has aggressively returned to the public arena, crossing boundaries to show its dominance and taking a series of actions that often presage a coup, CFR expert Joshua Kurlantzick writes in this article.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, the Organization of American States annual assembly concludes in Antigua and Barbuda.
  • Today, the U.S. Supreme Court is due to issue rulings in Washington that could include a case on birthright citizenship.
  • On Sunday, Nigeria’s Oil and Gas Energy Week conference begins in Abuja.
 
 

The U.S. Airstrikes on Iran

The President's Inbox

Diverse sources are needed to fully assess the damage done by recent strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Over the medium and long term, Tehran has varied options for responding, CFR expert Erin Dumbacher says on this episode of The President’s Inbox.

Listen
 
 

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