Australia Briefing
Good morning, it’s Ben here in chilly Canberra, here’s what’s making headlines today.Today’s must-reads:• US to review Aukus pact in blow to
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Good morning, it’s Ben here in chilly Canberra, here’s what’s making headlines today.

Today’s must-reads:
• US to review Aukus pact in blow to Australia
• Qantas cuts Jetstar Asia with 500 jobs to go
• Morgan Stanley’s Australia chief says deals are back

What's happening now

The Pentagon has launched a review of the Biden-era Aukus pact to develop nuclear-powered submarines with Australia and the UK, as the Trump administration looks to shift the burden for collective defense to allies and make sure the US has enough warships of its own.

“Unsustainable” rising costs of operating from Singapore’s Changi airport were partly to blame for the closure of Qantas’s low-cost subsidiary Jetstar Asia, executives said. The offshoot will stop operating July 31, enabling Qantas to free up as much as A$500 million in capital to fund the group’s fleet renewal program.

A Jetstar airplane approaches landing at Changi Airport, in Singapore. Photographer: Charles Pertwee

Morgan Stanley’s Australia chief Richard Wagner said he’s seeing a return of initial public offerings and merger activity after a “horrible” first half as the country’s stability draws overseas capital. The M&A pipeline is “very strong” in Australia, which augurs well for the next six months, he said.

The European Union is ready and willing to make a second attempt at securing a free trade deal with Australia, EU Ambassador Gabriele Visentin said on Wednesday, but added that the main obstacles to an accord that were identified in 2023 are largely unchanged.

New Zealand’s central bank said former governor Adrian Orr resigned over government cuts to the bank’s funding, according to documents released following official information requests by a number of media outlets.

Nuveen has raised A$300 million from Canada Pension Plan Investment Board for its commercial property debt fund in Australia. Dugald Marr, the firm’s head of debt Australia and New Zealand, said investors are drawn to Australia’s liquid market and its status as a a safe haven in the Asia Pacific. 

What happened overnight

Here’s what my colleague, market strategist Mike “Willo” Wilson says happened while we were sleeping…

The dollar eased with Treasury yields after data show underlying US inflation rose by less than forecast for the fourth month in a row, suggesting companies are largely absorbing higher tariff costs. Kept up, this will eventually hit earnings, hence stocks closed soft. Expectations of a Federal Reserve cut in September increased to around odds of 75%. Locally we have Australian consumer inflation expectations ahead of a speech by an RBA official. The former is probably more market moving than the latter. New Zealand should find plenty of demand for the bonds they are due to sell today. Aussie and kiwi dollars are nursing overnight losses. Futures point to a positive start for stocks.

US President Donald Trump said a trade framework with China has been completed, with Beijing supplying rare earths and magnets “up front” and the US allowing Chinese students into its colleges and universities.

US President Donald Trump departs after speaking at Fort Bragg, North Carolina. Photographer: Allison Joyce/Bloomberg

Meta has poached top engineers from multiple tech firms, including Alphabet’s Google, for a new team focused on achieving a more advanced form of AI called artificial general intelligence.

Apollo Global Management is targeting high-net-worth clients and access to retail investors as the biggest opportunities in Asia for growth in the coming years, with Australia’s superannuation system and Japanese savers in their sights.

It’s premature to assume that tariffs won’t push up inflation, but the developments have been pretty encouraging thus far, writes Bloomberg Opinion’s Jonathan Levin.

What to watch

All times Sydney:
• 11.00 a.m. — Consumer inflation expectations for June
• 12.00 p.m. — ASIC chair Joe Longo speaks at Amcham event in Sydney
• 5.20 p.m. — RBA Head of Domestic Markets David Jacobs at event in Tokyo
 

One more thing...

As the pace of wealthy individuals leaving London quickens, the numbers are starting to stack up: Labour’s flagship “tax the rich” policy risks becoming a net drain on the UK economy. Barely a day passes by without a big investor or entrepreneur exiting after the government abolished a two-century-old tax break for non-domiciled residents — well-heeled residents hailing from overseas.

The Shard skyscraper on the skyline in London, UK. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg
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