Australia Briefing
Good morning and welcome back, it’s Ainsley here with all the news you need to kick off your working week.Today’s must-reads:• RBA expected
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Good morning and welcome back, it’s Ainsley here with all the news you need to kick off your working week.

Today’s must-reads:
• RBA expected to cut interest rates 
• Productivity growth at 60-year low
• Gina Rinehart doubles US stocks bet 

What's happening now

Economists and money markets expect the Reserve Bank will announce a quarter percentage-point cut tomorrow to bring its cash rate to a two-year low of 3.85%. The cut would be the second this year and comes as price pressures ease and US-China trade tensions take a pause.

Productivity growth is at its “ lowest ebb in 60 years,” said Danielle Wood, chair of Australia’s Productivity Commission, highlighting the urgent need to tackle the issue. The commission has identified 15 priority reforms to examine in the course of five inquiries it’s conducting for the government to try to boost economic efficiency and raise living standards.

Billionaire mining magnate Gina Rinehart poured hundreds of millions of dollars into broad market-tracking funds during the first three months of the year, boosting holdings of US equities as Donald Trump returned to the White House. Rinehart’s closely held Hancock Prospecting held a portfolio of US-traded stocks and exchange-traded funds worth about $2.5 billion as of March 31, according to a May 15 regulatory filing.

Gina Rinehart, billionaire and chairman of Hancock Prospecting. Photographer: Carla Gottgens

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said Australia is “up for a deal” with the European Union, sounding a note of cautious optimism after years of trade talks. “We’re up for a deal, but not any deal at any price,” he said on a visit to Rome, where he is meeting with world leaders including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

Foreign Minister Penny Wong condemned a 13-year prison sentence handed down by a Russian court to an Australian national who fought with Ukrainian forces, calling the process a “sham trial” and vowing to press for his release. Oscar Jenkins, 33, was convicted in a Russian-controlled court in occupied eastern Ukraine on Friday of fighting in an armed conflict as a mercenary, local media have reported. 

What happened overnight

Here’s what my colleague, market strategist Mike “Willo” Wilson says happened while we were sleeping…

Gains in US stocks and the dollar may be reversed this week after news late in New York of a credit rating downgrade on US sovereign debt. As well, weekend commentary from the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde that the euro’s recent rise is justified by the uncertainty and loss of confidence in US policies won’t reflect well on US assets. This is evidenced by the greenback declining this morning, while the Aussie and kiwi dollars are inching higher. The week ahead is highlighted locally by the RBA’s interest rate decision tomorrow and rounded out by New Zealand retail sales data. Australian stock futures indicate a slightly weaker opening.

Former US President Joe Biden has been diagnosed with an aggressive form of prostate cancer. Biden was examined last week after experiencing urinary symptoms, according to a statement Sunday from spokesperson Kelly Scully. The cancer had metastasized to the bone. “While this represents a more aggressive form of the disease, the cancer appears to be hormone-sensitive which allows for effective management,” Scully said. 

Former President Joe Biden Photographer: Mandel Ngan/AFP

US Vice President JD Vance held talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in Rome on Sunday at a time when Washington is pressing for a quick end to Russia’s war in Ukraine. President Donald Trump said on Saturday he plans to hold a phone call with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Monday to discuss how to stop the “bloodbath” in Ukraine.

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa will meet Trump this week after months of criticism from the US president, but some advisers fear he risks a Zelenskiy-style dressing down in the Oval Office. The meeting on May 21 comes a week after the US chartered a plane to fly dozens of White South Africans to Washington as refugees. Just days earlier, Trump repeated the conspiracy theory, spread by his South Africa-born billionaire backer Elon Musk, that White Afrikaner farmers are victims of a genocide and the state is seizing their land.

What to watch

• Nothing major scheduled

One more thing...

Back in 2018 it looked like Apple’s artificial intelligence efforts were finally getting on track. Early that year, Craig Federighi, Apple’s software chief, gathered his senior staff and announced a blockbuster hire: The company had just poached John Giannandrea from Google to be its head of AI. Seven years after Giannandrea arrived, the optimism he brought with him is gone. Apple’s AI has only fallen further behind. Insiders say continued failure to get AI right threatens everything from the iPhone’s dominance to plans for robots and other futuristic products. Read more in our Big Take.

Photographer: Ariel Davis for Bloomberg Businessweek
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