Morning Briefing: Europe
Good morning. Mark Carney is set to win by a narrow margin to lead Canada as prime minister. HSBC and Deutsche Bank earnings beat estimates.
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Good morning. Mark Carney is set to win by a narrow margin to lead Canada as prime minister. HSBC and Deutsche Bank earnings beat estimates.. And Amazon launches a challenge to SpaceX. Listen to the day’s top stories.

Canada’s Liberals are set to win the election by a narrow margin, giving a mandate to Prime Minister Mark Carney. Get caught up on everything that was at stake in the vote.

Sticking with buybacks. Photographer: Betty Laura Zapata/Bloomberg

HSBC plans to buy back up to $3 billion in shares after pretax profit beat estimates. The lender said it expects a low single-digit percentage impact on revenue in a downside tariff scenario. Deutsche Bank’s revenue from fixed-income and currencies also surpassed analyst estimates. 

Spain and Portugal were returning to some semblance of normality this morning, with many questions remaining about what caused one of Europe’s worst blackouts in years across the Iberian peninsula the previous day. Read about how residents of Madrid coped with life off the grid.

Donald Trump is on track to lift some levies on foreign auto parts and give imported vehicles a reprieve from separate tariffs on aluminum and steel, a White House official said.

Pakistan’s defense minister warned of the “immediate threat” of war with India but said it can be averted. He told Geo News that China, Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states are working to prevent conflict from breaking out.

Deep Dive: Raise Your Arms

Defense spending surged last year by the most since at least the end of the Cold War, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

  • Europe, including Russia, spent $693 billion, a 17% year-on-year increase.
  • All 32 NATO members increased their expenditure, with 18 spending at least 2% of GDP on their militaries.
  • Ukraine spent $65 billion last year, amounting to 34% of its GDP—the largest burden globally.

The Big Take

Trump’s China Attacks Are Unleashing Wave of Nationalist Support for Xi
Even critics of the Chinese leader want him to stand firm in the face of an unprecedented economic attack.

Opinion

It’s dangerous to believe that “the arc of the moral universe bends towards justice,” writes Adrian Wooldridge. Doing so encourages a false sense of confidence that can be counterproductive to progress.

More Opinions
John Authers
Only in America — 100 Days of the Anti-Reagan
Daniel Moss
Is America Alone? Not Yet, But It’s Trying
Javier Blas
Critical Minerals Are a US Headache, Not an Emergency

Before You Go

Liftoff. Photographer: Miguel J. Rodriguez Carrillo/Getty Images

Amazon launched its first 27 Kuiper satellites to take on Elon Musk’s Starlink internet system. They’re the first of a planned 3,236-satellite network that Amazon will use to sell Internet connectivity to consumers and corporate clients.

A Couple More
UK Considers Breaking £2 Billion Aid Promise to the World Bank
Billionaire Aspires to Sainthood and Right-Wing Future for France

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