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Today’s newsletter looks at how the US has become further isolated from other rich nations that are continuing to push towards net zero. For unlimited access to climate and energy news, please subscribe

Trump’s missing climate invitation

By Akshat Rathi John Ainger and Simone Iglesias

Tomes have been written about US President Donald Trump’s decision to pull the country back from climate diplomacy. Now, when it comes to climate talks, he’s being shunned too.

That turnabout was on full display when leaders of more than a dozen countries — including China’s President Xi Jinping — huddled in a virtual high-level meetup last week, ahead of COP30 climate talks in Brazil later this year. Seventeen participants at level of heads of state and government were on the call, including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Brazil President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, but Trump was nowhere in sight.

UN and Brazilian officials organizing the event left him off the invite list, according to three people familiar with the matter who asked not to be identified.

Read More: World Leaders From China to EU Hold Climate Meeting Without US

Trump has made no secret of his deep skepticism toward established climate science, and he is now pulling the US out of the Paris Agreement (for a second time). But as the US retreats, China is seizing the moment. In the meeting last week, Xi noted that a “certain major country” is keen on unilateralism and protectionism, leaving a “serious impact” on international rules and order, according to the official Xinhua News Agency.

Xi Jinping Photographer: Ton Molina/Bloomberg

“This was Xi’s first international appearance on climate change since 2021, and it sends a clear signal of China’s support for multilateralism,” said Li Shuo, director of the China Climate Hub at the Asia Society Policy Institute in Washington.

Read More: Xi Commits China to Tougher Climate Targets as US Retreats

The moment has made the US appear even more isolated compared with other rich nations on climate and energy policies. “Witnessing the US left out of this high-level climate dialogue is telling — it starkly reflects the current administration’s diminished standing on the world stage regarding climate action,” said Harjeet Singh, a long-time participant at COP meetings and founding director of Satat Sampada Climate Foundation.

“By proceeding without the US, COP30 host Brazil is sending an unmistakable signal that it views current American participation as counterproductive, and is now actively seeking leadership from the EU, China, India and others to provide the leadership needed on climate plans and finance,” he said. 

US State Department officials didn’t respond to a request for comment.

While last week’s meeting was tightly restricted, technically the US still has a seat at the table for climate talks, alongside every other country in the world that are all still parties to the Paris Agreement.

Trump began a withdrawal process from the Paris accord in January but it will take at least a year for that to be finalized. This means it should be on the invite list to more official UN climate meetings, including mid-year talks in Bonn in June.

US President Donald Trump signed a number of executive orders as soon as he took office Jan. 20, including an order to withdraw from the Paris Agreement.  Photographer: Jim Lo Scalzo/EPA

What they will say at those events — or even if they will attend — remains unclear. There were quiet fears expressed at this year’s Petersberg Climate Dialogue, the first big annual meeting for climate diplomats, that the US could become a disruptor at COP this November. The US was notably absent at the event held in Berlin.

Where US delegates are showing up on the multilateral scene, their pro-fossil-fuel message isn’t being well received by countries convinced the energy transition is inevitable. Take last week’s energy summit hosted by the International Energy Agency and the UK government in London. A Trump official’s speech ripped into climate policies, saying they “harm human lives” — a view that directly opposes scientific consensus. The message “went down like a fart in a phone box,” as one UK energy figure colorfully put it to Politico.

Leaders from other rich nations and regions used their speeches at the summit to deliver a full-throated backing for greener economies. Prime Minister Keir Starmer said he wants to make Britain a “clean-energy super power.” European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said at the same event that economic growth in future will depend on “clean homegrown renewables.”

“Last week showed the US’s isolation at the global stage with its attempts to turn the tide on the energy transition,” said Linda Kalcher, executive director of Strategic Perspectives who has long advised European officials on climate diplomacy.

On the call with leaders last week, Xi also said China was firmly on the net-zero path. “Regardless of changes in the international landscape, China’s efforts to combat climate change will not slow down,” Xi said, according to a report from state-run CCTV. “Its push for international cooperation will not weaken, and its commitment to building a community with a shared future for mankind will not cease.”

--With assistance from Jennifer A Dlouhy 

Wait, where is everybody?

19
World leaders may profess they're on track for net zero, but  only this many of the 195 signatories of the Paris Agreement have presented new emissions cutting plans for the next decade, also known as nationally determined contributions or NDCs. 

Time to do homework

"Leaders must not treat this process as a box-checking exercise. Weak plans mean a bleak future, plain and simple."
Aruna Sharma
Development economist and former Indian government official
Many of the 17 participants in the virtual meeting last week agreed to present new NDCs by September, when the UN will hold a special event, according to UN Secretary-General António Guterres.

Data deep dive

After just three months in the White House, Donald Trump has already managed to raise the expected CO2 emissions that will be generated in the US, according to projections by BloombergNEF. Transport, including cars and trucks, will be the biggest source of increasing emissions in the US from 2025 to 2035, surpassing the power and energy sectors, BNEF estimates. Data centers will draw more electricity, and that will increase demand for gas-fueled power plants. 

Worth a listen

Global investment in clean energy hit a record $2 trillion last year, according to BloombergNEF. But developing countries see only a sliver of that funding. Private investors are wary of unfamiliar markets, currency risks and perceived instability. So how do we change that? Avinash Persaud, special adviser on climate risks to the president of the Inter-American Development Bank, joins Zero to explore how we can de-risk investments, unlock private capital, and supercharge the global clean energy transition. From carbon markets to sustainability-linked bonds, where should the focus be to make the biggest impact?

Listen now, and subscribe on AppleSpotify, or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

Avinash Persaud. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg

Attention all filmmakers

Do you have a compelling story you want to tell? The Bloomberg Green Docs competition is open to all eligible filmmakers who would like to compete to win a $25,000 grand prize for a short climate documentary. The aim is to explore our climate future with documentaries that reveal the world we are making today. Films must be under 10 minutes and submissions will be accepted through May 23. The winner will be announced at the Bloomberg Green Docs Film Festival in Seattle on July 16. Visit the Bloomberg Green Docs official site for more information and rules.

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