Opinion Today
No, it's not dead people still getting money.
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Today’s Agenda

Revolving Door

Contrary to what Elon Musk and Donald Trump would have you believe, tens of millions of dead people are not collecting Social Security benefits from the grave. Justin Fox says the government is just bad at keeping track of dead people, and it’d cost a lot of money to fix the records:

The reasons given by SSA officials have been that adding death information to all the records would cost too much ($5.5 million to $9.7 million, it estimated in 2015), require regulatory changes to carry out, result in the possible release of personal information about still-living people to the agency’s publicly available Death Master File and “be of little benefit to the agency” because few if any payments are going to dead people born before 1920.

Still, he says all those inactive accounts are “easy targets for identity theft.” Hundreds of thousands of people who likely aren’t authorized to work in the US have been using dormant numbers to get jobs. Justin says it “hints at another possible reason the Social Security Administration hasn’t been super-aggressive about clearing dead people … the up to $1.4 billion in payroll taxes on that $11.6 billion in earnings.” Those contributions “basically represent free money for the Social Security Trust Fund,” he writes. That sounds like fraud! But it’s not nearly as clean of a slogan as DEAD PEOPLE STEALING YOUR SOCIAL SECURITY MONEY, so.

Elsewhere in slogans related to Elon, you have “LONG LIVE THE REAL KING,” which I regret to inform you was plastered all over the US Department of Housing and Urban Development this morning:

Rumor has it that some sicko broadcasted what appeared to be an AI-generated video of Trump kissing — or brushing his teeth with?? — Elon Musk’s bare toes. Nobody could reportedly figure out how to get it to stop playing on a loop all throughout the building, including in the cafeteria, so they sent some poor soul to unplug all the televisions.

Between that eye-burning video and Musk’s baby mama drama, my zone is thoroughly flooded, as Steve Bannon always intended. But while the DOGE man is waving around chainsaws, firing people and giving those who remain ultimatums over email, far more pressing problems plague the government.

Clive Crook says Congress’ budget “is likely to add some $4 trillion to the national debt over the next 10 years.” Matthew Yglesias says that Republican leaders risk angering 80 million Americans by slipping “Medicaid cuts into a big legislative package crammed with other stuff.” And Francis Wilkinson says the courts “have been flooded with cases filed by or against the Trump administration.”

One such case? The Associated Press — which refused to add “Gulf of America” to its stylebook, despite Trump's executive order, and stuck with “Gulf of Mexico” — sued the White House Friday after the president personally barred reporters from events. “When politicians silence or sideline reporters, it’s because they want to keep the public in the dark,” Mary Ellen Klas writes. Part and parcel with flooding the zone, I suppose.

Somewhere in Germany

An incredible 84% of the German electorate turned out to vote in what Katja Hoyer called “the country’s most intensely anticipated election in decades.” Chris Bryant says, “The victory of conservative candidate Friedrich Merz in Sunday’s German election has raised hopes that this 69-year-old former corporate lawyer will wave a magic wand and end years of economic stagnation.” But wave his wand, he cannot:

“Following an election campaign dominated by debates about asylum seekers, I worry German voters are unprepared for some of the hard financial choices ahead, which include raising the retirement age and curtailing wasteful health spending,” Chris writes. In a new video, he explains how those changes will further strain the country’s social security system. “Germany’s social protections are renowned for being generous,” he says, but in an era when more people are retiring than entering Germany’s workforce, its social safety net looks increasingly fragile.

If Merz fails to get the nation’s economic juices flowing again, John Authers, who watched the election play out from afar, warns the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) could swoop in to save the day. With over one-fifth of the vote, “the far-right party now has the greatest electoral bridgehead for the far-right since the fall of the Nazis,” Authers writes. “Germany’s extremely liberal immigration policies of recent years look ever more like a serious mistake that provoked a deep political realignment.”

This is only a slice of our opinion coverage. To unlock every story and get full access to all our columnists, become a Bloomberg.com subscriber.

Telltale Charts

Here’s a big, bold idea: “Rather than look north for a 51st state, Trump should just look outside his window,” Nia-Malika Henderson writes. When you really think about it, Washington, DC, is the perfect place to turn into a state. The president already wants to the federal government to “run it with law and order,” and who better to accomplish that than two US Senators and one Congressperson it would get!? “If DC were a state, it would be the only state in which Black people make up the largest racial group. It would also have a bigger population than Wyoming or Vermont,” she writes. And “it would not be subject to the varying political whims of the party in power.”

If, after reading this newsletter, you’ve decided you need a vacation on the ski slopes, I wouldn’t blame you! But be prepared to do some major damage on your credit card. Without an Epic or Ikon pass, Kristen Bellstrom says a daily lift ticket will run you around $250 at most well-known resorts. No wonder why skiers are an aging group, she says — young people can’t afford the sport! Especially if they’re still learning how to pizza: “The average daily expenditure for a first-timer was more than 30% higher than that of an advanced or expert skier,” she writes. “This means the bar for a ski weekend with friends or a spontaneous day on the slopes — the kinds of experiences that help people fall in love with the sport — gets ever higher.”

Further Reading

“Operation Whirlwind” is more about chilling political speech than protecting the public. — Barbara McQuade

The sanctions regime against Russia is already crumbling, in reality if not in law yet. — Javier Blas

There are plenty of lessons for Trump in Warren Buffett’s latest shareholder letter. — Jonathan Levin

Don’t blame the astronomers for the ever-changing odds that an asteroid will strike Earth in 2032. — F.D. Flam

Democrats’ efforts to fix the party aren’t working. Real change will require ruffling a few feathers. — Frank Barry

Hockey fans, media and the NHL are ignoring the sport’s dangerous link to CTE. — Adam Minter

BHP has a once-in-a-generation chance to buy one of the world’s biggest copper deposits. — David Fickling

China is rewriting the law of the sea. The Philippines is preparing to fight back. — Karishma Vaswani

ICYMI

Apple is adding 20,000 domestic jobs.

Starbucks is simplifying for speed.

A new bat coronavirus was found in China.

Walmart wants to be everything.

Kickers

Nothing will prepare you for this headline.

Accio, Harry Potter Butterbeer-flavored Goldfish! (h/t Ale Lampietti)

Duolingo is alive! Long live Duolingo.

Notes: Please send Goldfish and feedback to Jessica Karl at jkarl9@bloomberg.net.

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