No images? Click here ![]() By Connor Smith | Friday, February 21 Risk Off. Suddenly, Wall Street is worried about the economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 750 points, or 1.7%, today. The S&P 500 also fell 1.7%. Both marked their biggest declines since Dec. 18. The Nasdaq Composite slid 2.5%. UnitedHealth Group was a big drag on the Dow, shaving 221 points off the index in the wake of a report from the Wall Street Journal that said the Department of Justice was looking into the health insurer's Medicare billing practices. Market's were in risk-off mode in the wake of a wave of economic data that showed cracks in key parts of the economy. Bond yields were falling, and the only major S&P sector on the rise was consumer staples. S&P Global's survey of activity in the manufacturing and services sectors came up short of expectations. Wall Street was already jittery about the economy after Walmart's weak outlook on Thursday. Sevens Report Research's Tom Essaye told me the soft services side was weighing on stocks:
Markets are priced for good news, with the S&P 500 closing at a record as recently as Wednesday. Frank Cappelleri, founder of technical analysis firm CappThesis, points out that the S&P hadn't fallen 1% or more since Jan. 27. "A session like this was bound to happen," Cappelleri told me. "Buyers stepped in early yesterday to limit the damage, but the lack of upside follow-through this morning allowed sell-side momentum to take over." On the bright side, bond yields are finally retreating again. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note was down to 4.19% this week, while the 10-year Treasury yield was down to 4.42%. Traders see a 63.7% chance of an interest-rate cut from the Federal Reserve in the first half of the year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. That's up from 50.4% a week ago. The key question for markets is whether such a cut will be prompted by slowing price growth or a slowing economy. We'll get some hints from the Fed's preferred inflation gauge a week from today. Watch our TV show on Fox Business Saturdays and Sundays at 9:30 a.m. and 10:30 a.m. ET. This week, Gregory Peters, co-chief investment officer of PGIM Fixed Income, on the outlook for bonds and interest rates. Plus, ways to play the surge in gold prices. ![]() DJIA: -1.69% to 43,428.02 The Hot Stock: Moderna +5.3% Best Sector: Consumer Staples +1.2% ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() This Weekend's Magazine![]() The CalendarThe last week of February will be a big one for Wall Street with Nvidia's earnings and the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge serving as highlights. Domino's Pizza, Diamondback Energy, and Zoom Communications will report results on Monday. Caesars Entertainment, Cava Group, Home Depot, and Workday will report on Tuesday. Nvidia's report on Wednesday will be joined by Anheuser-Busch InBev, eBay, Lowe's, Salesforce, Snowflake, and TJX. Autodesk, HP, and Warner Bros. Discovery will round things out on Thursday. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the personal consumption expenditures price index for January on Friday. Economists forecast a 2.5% year-over-year increase, one-tenth of a percentage point less than in December. The BEA will also release its second estimate of fourth-quarter gross-domestic product on Thursday. Real estate data next week include S&P CoreLogic's Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for December on Tuesday and new residential sales from the Census Bureau on Wednesday. The National Association of Realtors releases its Pending Home Sales Index for January on Thursday. ![]() What We're Reading Today
![]() Join Barron's Live on Monday at noon ET. Barron's Senior Managing Editor Lauren R. Rublin and Deputy Editor Ben Levisohn will talk market moves, industries, stocks, and investment trends with Holly McDonald, CIO of Bessemer Trust. Barron's Live features timely and actionable insights for investors. We give you behind-the-scenes conversations with the newsroom, connecting you with our editors and reporters covering the markets, the economy, and more. Sign up here.
You are currently subscribed as NPkvdejmf6@niepodam.pl |