Daily Briefing: El Niño record | ‘Rein in’ AI | Renewable growth ‘must double’
 
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Snapshot

New on Carbon Brief

• Analysis: ‘Super El Niño’ reaches ‘remarkable’ all-time record

• Updated: Where do the UN secretary general candidates stand on climate change?

News

• ‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak | Guardian

• ‘Energy-guzzling’ AI must rein in its emissions, says UN climate chief | Bloomberg

• Global renewable deployment must double to hit 2030 climate target, report says | Reuters

• Chinese rare-earth shipments to US drop ahead of Trump-Xi summit | Financial Times

• Wildlife will be affected by current drought for years to come, UK government says | Guardian

Comment

• Multilateralism is not idealism, it is a necessity | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, António Costa, William Ruto and Mark Carney, Financial Times

Research

• New research on ‘flash energy droughts’, Europe fire weather exposure and US storm frequency

Other stories

• ‘Planetary boundaries’ necessary for flourishing of life have been massively breached, scientists warn | Guardian

• EU to keep opposing new Arctic oil drilling, despite pressure from Norway | Reuters

• UK: EVs are more reliable than petrol cars in the long run | Daily Telegraph 

New on Carbon Brief

Analysis: ‘Super El Niño’ reaches ‘remarkable’ all-time record 

Zeke Hausfather  

Sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific now equal the previous daily record. 


Updated: Where do the UN secretary general candidates stand on climate change?

Aruna Chandrasekhar and Molly Lempriere 

Carbon Brief has updated its Q&A with the latest candidates for secretary general. 

News

‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak

Damian Carrington, The Guardian

Sea-surface temperatures “at the heart of” the El Niño weather pattern have reached a new record-high months before they are expected to peak, reports the Guardian on its frontpage, citing Carbon Brief analysis by climate science contributor Dr Zeke Hausfather. The newspaper quotes Hausfather saying the latest figures are “mind-blowing”. It adds: “The current El Niño is likely to be the largest in at least 1,000 years and will pile extra heat into an atmosphere in which temperatures are already rising rapidly due to human-caused global heating. This double whammy means 2027 is expected to ‘blow apart’ previous records and become the hottest year ever recorded.” The Associated Press examines the risks posed by El Niño for drought in Asia and global food prices.

MORE ON EXTREME WEATHER

  • The Guardian: “Babies ‘will face almost twice as much’ extreme fire weather in Europe than great-grandparents.”  

  • Reuters reports that two people have been killed in landslides brought on by torrential rains in a “powerful typhoon” in Japan.

  • BBC News says of the typhoon that “climate change is not thought to be increasing the number of these storms globally”, but it is making them “more intense”. 

  • The Los Angeles Times: “California declares statewide emergency ahead of projected epic El Niño storms.” 

  • The Associated Press says authorities in Colombia have declared a “public calamity” as a wildfire “burned through mountains” and surrounded a tourist town.


‘Energy-guzzling’ AI must rein in its emissions, says UN climate chief

Lili Pike and Coco Liu, Bloomberg

UN climate chief Simon Stiell has criticised the energy needs and emissions from AI at the start of the UN general assembly and climate week in New York City, says Bloomberg. The outlet quotes Stiell as saying: “Energy guzzling artificial intelligence is driving up planet-heating pollution from coal, oil and gas, while ratcheting up energy costs for households and businesses.” Climate Home News says climate change and the energy transition have risen up the “national security agenda” in New York. The Guardian reports that prime ministers of Australia and Iceland spoke at the opening of the city’s climate week, both discussing the “effects of the climate crisis on their countries, the measures they are taking to transition away from fossil fuels, and their support for other countries to do the same”. The Associated Press also covers the start of the two events. 

MORE ON UN

  • COP31 host Turkey has announced a “climate-responsible AI” pledge, reports the Daily Sabah. Climate Home News says no there are no details “so far”. 

  • COP31 president Murat Kurum has laid out the summit’s action agenda, which Kurum says is based on “dialogue, consensus and action”, reports Reuters

  • The Guardian: “[Australian prime minister Anthony] Albanese urges climate action on world stage – but advocates say Australia [is] failing on fossil fuels.” 

  • India Today reports that Nepal’s prime minister will travel to New York to “spotlight Nepal's flood-linked climate concerns” after the recent Himalayan floods. 


Global renewable deployment must double to hit 2030 climate target, report says

Susanna Twidale, Reuters

Reuters covers a new report finding that annual global renewable installations need to more than double in order to meet a pledge to triple total capacity by 2030. It says just over 690 gigawatts (GW) of renewable power capacity was added globally in 2025. The outlet adds that this needs to increase to “roughly 1,200GW on ⁠average, every year through 2030” to meet the pledge, which was part of the formal outcome of the COP28 climate summit in 2023. It says the report from the International Renewable Energy Agency, the COP31 presidency and the ​Global Renewables Alliance also finds that “nearly $1tn ⁠a year on average is needed in grid investment between 2026 and 2030…up from $525bn ​in 2025”. 

MORE ON ENERGY 

  • Solar and wind power met a record 80.4% of electricity demand in Australia on Saturday, reports the Guardian

  • Reuters reports that the European Commission has proposed new rules requiring data centres to disclose their energy and water efficiency. 

  • Reuters says almost 40% of coal-fired power plants in India are “operating with critically low fuel ​stocks due to a surge in power demand amid ‌hotter-than-usual weather linked to El Niño”. 

  • The Financial Times says French president Emmanuel Macron has called on the EU to take more action to lower energy prices.

  • Euractiv says a EU commissioner plans to call an emergency meeting of member-state ministers if the energy crisis worsens. 


Chinese rare-earth shipments to US drop ahead of Trump-Xi summit

Edward White, Financial Times

Chinese shipments of rare-earth magnets to the US fell 13% to 512 tonnes in August ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, reports the Financial Times. It says the issue of rare earths, crucial to low-carbon technologies, is expected to be a “point of friction” at the leaders’ summit in Washington this week. Reuters quotes experts saying that US president Donald Trump’s “less combative” stance towards China ahead of the meeting is a “sign of Beijing’s growing power thanks to critical minerals”. The newswire says China’s “near-total control of rare-earth minerals” could limit “how much Washington can threaten Beijing”. Bloomberg reports China hopes to “offer more licenses for rare-earth exports as a bargaining chip in talks”, according to an unnamed source. Chinese president Xi Jinping’s visit to the US will take place from Wednesday to Friday this week, according to state news agency Xinhua.

MORE ON CHINA

  • The NEA said China’s electricity consumption last month rose 1.7%, with peak electricity demand hitting a record high of 1,560GW, reports China Energy Net.

  • Chinese authorities have urgently allocated 200m yuan ($30m) to support four provinces after days of heavy rainfall, reports Xinhua.

  • China has issued an initiative aiming to recommend a group of “green and low-carbon” computing facilities with high energy efficiency, according to BJX News.

  • China is strengthening the oversight of the environmental technology sector to support the development of a “Beautiful China”, reports CCTV.

  • Bloomberg: “CATL sees limited impact from China’s new battery tax on orders.”


Wildlife will be affected by current drought for years to come, UK government says

Pippa Neill, The Guardian

The UK government says that wildlife in England and Wales will continue to be affected by this summer’s “serious drought” for years, reports the Guardian. The newspaper adds that the National Drought Group says groundwater storage and reservoir levels continue to decline despite recent rain. The “effects on wildlife populations and ecosystems will last for years to come”, the drought group chair, Tony Grayling, tells the newspaper. The Guardian adds: “The lack of rainfall combined with successive heatwaves and new temperature records have placed a significant strain on water supplies…Scientists said this extreme weather was only possible due to the climate crisis caused by the burning of fossil fuels.” 

MORE ON UK 

  • The Times and the Press Association cover Institute for Fiscal Studies findings that households could cut energy bills by switching to flexible electricity tariffs. The climate-sceptic Daily Telegraph says: “race to net-zero is driving up bills, warns IFS”. 

  • The Bureau of Investigative Journalism reports that several UK insurers are “fuelling the climate crisis while benefiting from a scheme that helps cover their flood losses”. 

  • BusinessGreen covers an open letter from a campaign group warning that “flood-prone communities risk being trapped with uninsurable homes”. 

  • The Independent: “New government-supported loans could make solar panels cheaper to finance.”