Will Pauline Hanson’s party pay the price for vibes- based policy?

Will Pauline Hanson’s party pay the price for vibes-based policy? | The Guardian
Politics, really - The Guardian
One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson speaks to journalists in the Press Gallery at Parliament House in Canberra.
15/09/2026

Will Pauline Hanson’s party pay the price for vibes-based policy?

Tom McIlroy Tom McIlroy
 

Good afternoon.

Pinning down One Nation on the facts and figures behind their policy proposals has never been easy.

But this week it has felt like something even beyond the bounds of the usual Trump-like playbook from Hanson, raising questions about just how far the party is prepared to go on vibes-based policy design.

Asked about costings and economic modelling, Hanson has dismissed the role of experts and economists and insisted her policy prescriptions reflect the will of the voters.


Dismissing experts

Releasing One Nation’s policies on early access to superannuation a week ago, and on major cuts to immigration on Monday, Hanson and her colleague Barnaby Joyce dismissed questions about the economic effect of the plans.

On Tuesday, when she was challenged over whether One Nation’s plans to cut 750,000 overseas arrivals over three years would push Australia into recession, Hanson said she didn’t really care.

“Do you trust these economists, what they come out and say? Because I don’t,” she said. “I don’t believe they always get it right as well.” Soon she conceded the policy could reverse economic growth for a couple of months but argued it was worth it to stop traffic jams and ease housing shortages.

Hanson was silent on the warnings of universities, the agriculture sector and aged care providers.


Badly misguided

Despite the limited logic of Hanson’s vibes-based politics, it’s not hard to see why dismissing experts might be a winning political position.

Many voters - especially those who are attracted to One Nation’s scorched earth style - don’t care what experts or economists say. On proposals like cutting immigration or easing cost-of-living pain, they trust Hanson to deliver, much like Donald Trump’s most ardent supporters don’t care about the chaos he creates.

But, longer term, the approach is badly misguided. Look out for my full analysis on the Guardian, first thing tomorrow morning.


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Overheard in Canberra

OpenAI logo.
camera <strong>Richard Marles</strong> says reporting that OpenAI has issued an ultimatum to Australia – that the government must water down copyright protections or the company will refuse to invest in domestic AI training or renewable energy – is overstated. Photograph: Dado Ruvić/Reuters

‘OpenAI has not issued any ultimatum, demand or threat to the Australian government’ - A source close to conversations between OpenAI and the Albanese government.

Luca Ittimani writes: The government and OpenAI have downplayed the suggestion that the company is threatening to walk away from investments in Australia over Labor’s AI copyright protections, after its vice president, Ann O’Leary, was quoted by The Australian newspaper as saying: “Our company isn’t ready to have that conversation if we can’t get through the gating problem of the copyright barriers.”

The paper called O’Leary’s comments a “strong-arm” and “ultimatum” but the deputy prime minister said that was “overstating” things.

The Australian stories you can’t miss today

1

Pauline Hanson | The One Nation leader has made a qualified apology after describing Indigenous Australians as the “most primitive race on Earth”, saying she was sorry “if I offended people”.

2

Karl Stefanovic | The former Today host agrees to buy out podcast partner with short-lived show on hiatus since August after Tommy Robinson interview.

3

Northern Territory | An intruder remains on the run after allegedly forcing their way on to a Royal Australian Air Force base in Darwin, assaulting a member of the defence forces and fleeing in a stolen car.

4

Sport | Organisers of the global indoor fitness competition Hyrox have apologised and pledged immediate rule changes after an Australian athlete was allowed to finish and win an event in Beijing despite soiling herself mid-race.

The rest of the news

Screen grab taken from video footage released by the TVN channel and made available via AFPTV which shows a suspected Russian military drone.
camera TV picture of a suspected Russian drone lying on a Baltic Sea beach after it was retrieved by the Polish military. Photograph: AFPTV/TVN/AFP/Getty Images
1

Europe | Nato fighter jets shot down a drone which was violating Lithuania’s airspace. The drone reportedly entered from Belarus and comes after Poland scrambled fighter jets less than a day after retrieving a suspected Russian drone adrift in its waters.

2

Houthis | Rebels have seized two strategic islands in the Red Sea, reinforcing the Iran-backed group’s ability to control a key shipping route, as concerns mount that the world is facing a new oil supply crisis.

3

Gavin Newsom | The California governor, who has increasingly portrayed himself as a foil to Trump, will not run for president if former vice-president Kamala Harris does, he said in a interview with CNN.

4

Global shipping | The Panama canal plans to again cut maritime traffic due to worsening drought caused by the El Niño climate phenomenon, further choking up one of the world’s most important maritime trade routes.

Look out for…

The EU commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, is giving the annual EU state of the union speech tomorrow and according to diplomats here in Canberra, she’s going to mention Australia in her address.

The speech comes at a key moment in relations between Brussels and Canberra, and just as Anthony Albanese prepares to head to the United Nations in New York City next week. Albanese and von der Leyen have collaborated closely in the past couple of years, including on the EU-Australia free trade deal, global momentum for Labor’s under 16s social media ban, and on a new security pact designed to build cooperation and investment.

What to watch

Screenshot from video.
camera Barnaby Joyce and Pauline Hanson have stayed at One Nation backer Gina Rinehart’s $20m home in Brisbane, without declaring the hospitality to parliament. Composite: Rafqa Touma/Guardian, AAP

How close is One Nation to Australia’s richest person?

Guardian Australia can reveal Pauline Hanson and Barnaby Joyce stayed overnight at Gina Rinehart’s $20m Brisbane mansion after fundraising events held for One Nation - but that’s not all.

Rafqa Touma speaks to senior correspondent Sarah Martin about the depth of the relationship between Rinehart and One Nation.

Watch the video here, and you can listen to the Guardian’s podcast The Populist wherever you get your podcasts.

Before bed read

Matthew Rhys holding two Emmy awards.
camera Matthew Rhys wins the Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series Award for Widow’s Bay and the Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie Award for The Beast in Me at the 78th Emmy Awards. Photograph: Alberto Rodriguez/Deadline/Getty Images

It’s televisions biggest night, and this year’s Emmy awards ceremony saw a healthy mix of lauded veterans and buzzy newcomers take home the top prize.

Check out all the best red carpet looks and outfits at TV’s biggest night, and catch up on the full list of winners.

Daily word game

Screesshot from word game.
camera Photograph: The Guardian

Today’s starter word is: LADE. You have five goes to get the longest word including the starter word. Play Wordiply.

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