Opinion Today: How to think about the midterms now
Are we looking at a blue wave?
Opinion Today
September 14, 2026
Illustration by Shoshana Schultz/The New York Times

Notable

An expert panel considers a blue wave in the midterms. “Unlike in 2024, I don’t have a particularly strong “gut” about this midterm, other than that it’s hard to imagine Democrats winning a statewide race in Texas.”

— Nate Silver, a political analyst, in conversation with other election experts

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The Democratic Senate candidate who wisely defends oil. “This reframing might strike many environmentalists who’ve purchased electric vehicles or cut back on flying as unfair. But Ms. Peltola is partly responding to an asymmetry in how the government treats oil rights.”

— Robinson Meyer, a contributing Opinion writer

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The violence that can’t be described in just one language. “Even as Israel states its goals openly, international governments and institutions keep recasting those aims in conventional political language: a conflict to be managed, an occupation expected to end, an extremist government that needs to be restrained.”

— Yuli Novak, the executive director of B’Tselem, the Israeli Information Center for Human Rights in the Occupied Territories

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Spotlight

A convex mirror is trained on a New York City subway platform.
Jonah Markowitz for The New York Times.

The Age of Erratic Authority

As the Jordan Neely trial proved, no one is coming to save us.

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ICYMI

The rural vibe shift is real. “Down-home genres have gained new salience even outside red-state redoubts, sometimes as they are flipped and remixed by artists of all stripes.”

— Matthew Schmitz, the editor of the magazine Compact

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More in Opinion

An illustration featuring the outline of a dog, its head surrounded by a white nuclear physics symbol.

How I Realized My Dog Is a Genius

With pets and people, we’re stupid when assessing smarts.

By Frank Bruni

An illustration of a chalk outline of a person fallen on the ground. Numbered placards pair with false teeth, a whoopee cushion, glasses with a fake nose and mustache and a rubber chicken.

Guest Essay

What’s Happening to TV Comedies Is Not Funny

The demands of streaming, which is now how most viewers watch TV, are not suited to just plain old comedy.

By Jay Martel

Denny Hoskins, the Missouri secretary of state, wearing a red jacket with an American flag pin, standing in front of a bank of microphones and  others held by outstretched hands.

David French

The Fix Was Almost In

The midterms dodge their first MAGA bullet. It won’t be the last.

By David French

A photo of a smiling woman in a light blue shirt and a man in a navy blue shirt as they toast with two large souvenir U.S. Open glasses filled with liquid and topped with melon balls that resemble tennis balls.

Guest Essay

Let the U.S. Open Fly Its Freak Flag

Many are complaining about influencers invading Flushing Meadows. But their biggest crime is distracting from the glorious chaos that typifies this tournament.

By Nekesa Mumbi Moody

In Your Words

Re: What Are We Doing to Our World of Wonder?

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