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Good morning,
Investors can get yields of ~4% annually from short-term government bond ETFs.
Relatively higher yields on short-term debt are a welcome reprieve from prior years of very low yields.
So how do dividend growth stocks stack up versus short-term debt funds?
In regards to low-risk current income, ETFs like BIL win hands down.
Note: BIL had a 4.1% yield in February 2026 when this analysis was done.
But taking a longer term view shows a very different picture...
Your principal isn’t going to meaningfully increase if interest payments aren’t reinvested with a bond ETF like BIL.
Compare that to a high quality dividend growth stock portfolio held for the long run.
The Top 10 growth-focused buy and hold forever dividend stocks in the upcoming February 2026 edition of the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter have an average dividend yield of 1.9% and average expected dividend-per-share growth rate of 9.6%.
Note: Data from the 2/11/26 Sure Analysis spreadsheet.
A comparison of the income generated annually and principal growth of $10,000 invested in these two different choices is below.
The below comparison assumes that:
- Dividends increase at our expected dividend-per-share growth rate of 9.6%
- Share price increases at our expected earnings-per-share growth rate of 9.9%
Note: Our average expected earnings-per-share growth rate for the upcoming February 2026 edition of the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter Top 10 is 9.9%, which is 0.3 percentage points above our expected dividend growth rate. This means we expect moderate payout ratio contraction. These rates are typically close, but aren't always equal.
Note: In the hypothetical example above, compounding occurs at the start of each year. So at the end of year 1, no growth has occurred. At the end of year 2, the dividend growth portfolio's income and principal have grown by 9.6% and 9.9%, respectively.
While the images above aren’t a perfect depiction of reality – returns are never this smooth for a dividend growth portfolio – it does convey the power of compounding.
One investment choice pays you $410 on your $10,000 annually.
The other starts off with smaller payments, but eclipses the initial higher yields over time.
And the difference in principal over time is staggering.
Note: These examples assume dividends/interest is used instead of reinvested. Compounding would be even more powerful if dividends were reinvested.
Significant wealth is created through the compounding of the dividend portfolio over time, which is not the case with the static short-term government bond portfolio.
And that's where the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter shows its worth.
About The Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter
The Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter analyzes our Top 10 fast-growing long-term dividend stock buys each month.
Note: We always publish the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter on the 3rd Sunday of the month. More than 3,000 intelligent investors currently receive the newsletter.
Our Top 10 buys each month have:
- Dividend yields + conservative growth estimate of 7.0%+
(And typically significantly higher)
- At least 5 years of consecutive annual dividend increases (And typically much longer).
- Trading at fair or better prices
(Always trading below fair value).
"Sure Dividend has helped me compound my wealth."
– Sure Dividend reader
These are our top 1.1% buys for fast-growing dividend growth stocks to buy and hold for the long-run from our 900+ stock Sure Analysis Research Database.
Our ~15 person team puts in the work to find the best fast-growing dividend stocks to buy for the long-run for our members by analyzing 900+ securities every quarter.
Note: This is real analysis by our team, not a quick computer screen or AI guesswork.
“The person that turns over the most rocks wins the game. And that’s always been my investing philosophy.”
– Peter Lynch
And we don't stop after recommending a security. We provide (rare) actionable sell recommendations as needed as well...
Although our goal is to buy and hold forever so long as dividends keep growing.
The Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter has everything you need to build your rising passive income portfolio.
- Detailed analysis on our Top 10 buy and hold forever fast-growing dividend stocks each month.
- A to-the-point portfolio building guide.
We will publish the new February 2026 edition this Sunday morning (2/15/26).
The Top 10 buys for the upcoming February 2026 edition have the following characteristics:
- 15.1% Annual expected total returns
- 9.6% Annual expected dividend growth
- 1.9% Dividend yield
- 26 Years of rising dividends
Notes: Data from the 2/11/26 Sure Analysis spreadsheet. Metrics above average the Top 10.
Now is the best time to join the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter because the 7 Days of Compound Dividends is currently in effect.
The 7 Days Of Compound Dividends
The 7 Days of Compound Dividends is the absolute best time to join the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter. Here's why:
- Enrollment Closing
This is your only chance to join the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter this month because we are closing enrollment at 8:00 PM CST on 2/16/26. It will not reopen until 3/3/26.
- Upcoming Price Increase
We will do a price increase before enrollment opens next month to better reflect the value of the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter (for those who haven't joined only) from its current low discounted rate of $85.
- Price Lock Guarantee
Your price will never increase when you join with this offer. It will stay at just $85/year, regardless of inflation or anything else.
- No-Risk 60-Day Full Refund Period
You get a 60-day full refund period on your first payment. If it isn't for you, just email us at support@suredividend.com within the 60-day period, and you will get a full refund, no questions asked.
- Instant Access + The New February 2026 Edition
You will instantly receive the current January 2026 edition of the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter when you join below. And you will receive the new February 2026 edition when we publish it this Sunday morning!
- Ends At 8:00 PM CST On 2/16/26
The 7 Days of Compound Dividends event ends at 8:00 PM CST on 2/16/26, with absolutely no exceptions.
“Your skills and experience and brain has done so much for me and thousands of others. In reality though, it’s your transparency and integrity that sets you apart from the rest of the investment companies. Yes you are one of the few in the investment industry, who really does live by the Golden Rule. You are the last honest investment teacher. Never change. We’ll keep sending fellow retail customers to you only.”
– Sure Dividend member
There's absolutely no risk in trying the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter thanks to our 60-day full refund policy on your first payment.
But there is serious dividend and capital compounding potential from investing in our Top 10 fast-growing dividend stock buys for the long-run.
When you join below, you get:
- Instant access to the current January 2026 Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter
- All historical editions, dating back to the inaugural October 2020 edition
- Bonuses: (1) The Invest Like The Best PDF course, and (2) The Investor’s Toolbox: How To Analyze Financial Statements PDF Course and checklist
- Upcoming: The February 2026 edition of the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter when we publish it this Sunday morning
Reminder: The 7 Days of Compound Dividends is a no exceptions offer. Once its gone, its gone forever. It ends in just:
To your compounding dividends,
Ben Reynolds
Founder, Sure Dividend
P.S. The new February 2026 edition of the Sure Dividend Growth Newsletter goes live this Sunday morning! Click here to join now with the deep discount price locked in, while it's still available.
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