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Our new cover story is live now, an interview with California Governor Gavin Newsom, who’s spoiling for a fight with President Donald Trump. In today’s newsletter, Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Brad Stone writes about how Newsom’s record in the state might affect his future ambitions. Plus: China’s growing port portfolio, and nine founders making a difference in the world.

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There’s an old saying among politicos: “California is always on the ballot”—America’s most populous and productive state is in one way or another continually on the mind of the country’s voters. That’s palpably true this year, as the state considers a redistricting referendum meant to counter Republicans’ attempts to gerrymander the midterm elections in their favor, and as Governor Gavin Newsom, the subject of our November cover story, presents himself as a social media warrior ready to lead a listless Democratic Party.

But if the nation’s voters are ever again asked directly whether America should look more like California—Newsom is near the top of every list of Democratic presidential hopefuls—they’ll have to consider an economic picture that is decidedly mixed. The state, as is often noted, is a powerhouse that generates 14% of the country’s gross domestic product and alone would have the world’s fourth-largest GDP, just ahead of Japan’s. It leads the country in confronting climate change by adopting renewable-energy and electric-vehicle standards. And as home to almost two-thirds of the leading global artificial intelligence companies, it has reestablished its primacy (if it was ever truly in doubt) as the world’s top incubator of the next new thing.

Photo illustration by Social Species; photos: Bloomberg (4); Getty Images (8)

Along with these flexes, not to mention the glorious weather and stunning vistas, California also leads the country in less positive categories. It has the highest unemployment rate (5.5%), is tied with Louisiana for the highest poverty rate and regularly ranks at or near the bottom of most lists measuring high school graduation rates. Since the Covid-19 pandemic, sky-high prices for housing and other necessities, a visible homeless problem in major cities and perceptions of lawlessness have driven more people—and companies—out of the state than its enduring charms have lured them into it. “The mythology of California is that you could come here and remake yourself and build a middle-class living,” says Los Angeles-based political strategist Mike Madrid, who has advised both Democrats and Republicans. “That’s a quaint notion of the past. You can’t come here without a college degree and ever own a home, let alone support a family.”

The California dream arguably started to fade a few decades ago. After the Cold War, military bases closed, and aerospace giants like Northrop Grumman Corp. and McDonnell Douglas Corp., which helped fuel the state’s furious economic expansion, shrank or disappeared. The tech companies that replaced them employed far fewer people and concentrated wealth in the hands of relatively few shareholders and workers. There’s broad consensus that the state enacted bad policies, too, including labyrinthian regulations that made it hard to run a business and, crucially, to develop land and build more housing. According to the US Census Bureau, California’s population has slightly declined since 2020, while states like Texas and Florida have gotten larger. “It’s more than just housing. Development in all areas of California needs to be streamlined and more efficient. We’re making it costlier for individuals to live here,” says Jennifer Barrera, chief executive officer of the California Chamber of Commerce.

One frequently identified villain is the 55-year-old California Environmental Quality Act, which makes it onerous for companies to get the necessary approvals to build things and too easy for everyone from environmentalists to disgruntled neighbors to stop them. This summer, Newsom signed two bills that overhauled the state’s permitting process, exempted high-density housing from CEQA and shielded qualifying projects from expensive and time-consuming litigation. Critics pointed out the reform came relatively late in the governor’s second and final term and was a response to President Donald Trump’s surprising success in the state in the 2024 election. But the move helped recast Newsom as an “abundance” Democrat—part of the fashionable movement of liberals who want to remove barriers to new construction and economic growth.

In his interview with Bloomberg Businessweek, Newsom criticized Trump’s economic policies, took aim at what he calls the administration’s engagement in “crony capitalism,” and generally displayed his brand of direct and obscenity-laced political pugilism that’s helped him capture public attention lately. He also dodged any talk of running for president in 2028 and conceded that the perception of his state isn’t all that great right now.

“I’m not naive about California’s status in the national electorate. I’m not a fool. Just the opposite—I’m consciously battling all this, including how vulnerable we are on the two key issues that are completely legit critiques: housing and homelessness,” he said. “I’m quite offended about the status quo myself.”

Read the cover story: ‘I Want to Win’: Inside Gavin Newsom’s Plan for Taking On Trump

In Brief

China’s Vast Port Network

Illustration by Raven Jiang

Sitting on either end of the Panama Canal are two massive ports operated by the same Chinese company. Any disruption at the waterway—the conduit for roughly 40% of US container traffic—could cost American businesses hundreds of millions of dollars a day, which explains why President Donald Trump has set his sights on ensuring that the critical maritime choke point is beyond the reach of Beijing’s influence. “China is operating the Panama Canal, and we didn’t give it to China. We gave it to Panama, and we’re taking it back,” Trump said during his inaugural address in January.

Trump’s demand that Panama’s government revoke the rights of CK Hutchison Holding Ltd. to operate the two gateways highlights what for Washington and other world capitals is an uncomfortable reality: China has spent two decades patiently assembling a massive port network spanning every continent except Antarctica.

Bloomberg News reporters teamed up with graphics editors to show what that looks like: China’s Global Network of Shipping Ports Is Too Big for Trump to Unravel

Setting Sail

21.7 million
That’s how many Americans are expected to take cruises in 2026, a record. It will mark the fourth straight year of record demand, cementing cruising’s evolution into a mainstream—and budget-friendly—travel option while shedding its image as the go-to vacation mainly for retirees.

New Economy Leaders

Illustration by Raven Jiang

Bloomberg New Economy’s 2025 class of Catalysts recognizes nine people with a vision of a more equitable, sustainable future—and the drive to make it happen. These founders are solving problems that plague farmers, aging populations, female entrepreneurs in the developing world and more. Here are two.

Mira Mehta
Co-founder and CEO, Tomato Jos, Nigeria
Mehta named her startup after an Ibo slang term for a woman who’s not only beautiful but also impeccably put together. Nigeria is one of Africa’s largest tomato producers, but it lacks adequate transportation, storage and processing facilities. Tomato Jos’ mission is to address those deficits and empower farmers. The business has 350 partner farmers, and it opened a tomato paste plant in 2021.

Samir Ibrahim
Co-founder and CEO, SunCulture, Kenya
After placing second in a pitch competition while at the New York University Stern School of Business, Ibrahim took his idea to Kenya and co-founded SunCulture. The startup helps farmers transition from gravity- or diesel-powered irrigation systems to solar ones. Since it was founded in 2012, SunCulture has deployed more than 60,000 solar irrigation systems across several African countries.

Keep reading: The Bloomberg New Economy Catalyst List

Peace Talks

“We have moved closer to a possible end to the war, I can tell you that for certain. That doesn’t mean it will definitely end, but President Trump has achieved a lot in the Middle East, and riding that wave he wants to end Russia’s war against Ukraine.”
Volodymyr Zelenskiy
Ukrainian president
Zelenskiy said Budapest wasn’t the best place for talks to end the war in Ukraine because of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s Russia-friendly stance, but he’d still come if invited.

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