The latest from CFR’s RealEcon Initiative
RealEcon

Reimagining American Economic Leadership

Chairman and CEO of BlackRock Larry Fink, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Senator Dave McCormick (R-PA), Chief Operating Officer of Blackstone Jon Gray, Alphabet & Google President and Chief Investment Officer Ruth Porat and CEO of Exxon Mobil Corp REUTERS/Nathan Howard

Missing the Mark: Trump Investments Not Likely to Help Those Most in Need

The Trump administration says its trade and investment policies aim to help struggling Americans. A preliminary look at recently announced investments shows the administration could be missing its target, observe RealEcon Associate Director Allison J. Smith and former intern Madeline Burns. Read the study 

Recently Announced Investments Are Distributed Across the United States, but Concentrated in Rich Counties

How Trump Has Made Emerging Market Assets Great Again

A flurry of White House economic and trade policies intended to put “America First” have yielded unexpected returns in developing economies around the world. It is a timely reminder of how policy decisions can feed through to global financial markets in unexpected ways, argues CFR Fellow Rebecca Patterson. Get her analysis 

A person exchanges U.S. dollars for Colombian pesos at a currency exchange house in Bogota, Colombia, on June 10. Nathalia Angarita/Reuters

A Guide to Trump’s Section 232 Tariffs, in Maps

President Donald Trump has launched a wave of Section 232 tariffs and investigations, seeking to protect U.S. national security. Those graphics show the scale and structure of U.S. reliance on foreign suppliers for products ranging from cars to copper, write Senior Vice President, Director of Studies, and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair Shannon K. O’Neil, former Research Associate Julia Huesa, and Research Associate Gabriela Paz-Soldan. View the piece 

Chinese cars are parked at China’s Port of Nanjing as they wait to be exported, April 16, 2025. STR/AFP/Getty Images

The (Temporary) End of the U.S. Development Finance Corporation

For the Development Finance Corporation, paralysis means pausing investment activity and dealmaking mid-transaction without a clear restart timeline, indefinitely holding project development activities, and potentially causing permanent harm to the international credibility of the United States’ leading development finance tool as a reliable long-term financial partner, writes CFR Fellow William Henagan. Read his take 

The United States International Development Finance Corporation Headquarters , 1100 New York Ave., NW., Washington, D.C. Library of Congress

China, the United States, and the AI Race

CFR President Michael Froman shares his take on artificial intelligence (AI) competition between the two countries. Check out the article

President Donald Trump delivers remarks on artificial intelligence at the

Trade Fun Fact 

With which partners does the United States run its largest trade surpluses?

Answer at the bottom of the newsletter

Featured From the Greenberg Center

Will Trump’s $20 Billion Backing Help Milei Change Argentina’s Fortunes?

Argentina has already gone through more than $50 billion from the International Monetary Fund. Despite the assurances of U.S. officials, experts remain skeptical that Argentina can achieve a different result with this currency swap, writes CFR Fellow Brad W. Setser. Read the article

President Donald Trump and Argentina’s President Javier Milei meet during the eightieth UN General Assembly in New York City, September 23, 2025. Al Drago/Reuters

Global Monetary Policy Tracker

CFR’s “Global Monetary Policy Tracker” compiles data from fifty-four countries around the world to highlight significant global trends in monetary policy. CFR Fellow Benn Steil illustrates who is tightening policy, who is loosening policy, and the policy stance of the world as a whole. Explore the tracker 

CFR’s Global Monetary Policy Tracker

Reading Schmitt in Beijing: How China’s Rise Provoked America’s Illiberal Turn

China’s illiberal rise is the force pulling the United States away from liberalism. That turn would hardly have surprised the twentieth-century thinker, jurist, and political historian Carl Schmitt, observes Steil. Read the Foreign Affairs piece

Carl Schmitt in 1932 ullstein bild Dtl / Getty Images

CFR Fellowship Opportunities

CFR is now accepting applications for the 2026–27 International Affairs Fellowship (IAF) program.

  • The International Affairs Fellowship
  • The International Affairs Fellowship in Indonesia
  • The International Affairs Fellowship in Japan
  • The Robert A. Belfer International Affairs Fellowship in European Security

The programs offer transformational opportunities for mid-career professionals who have a demonstrated commitment to a career in foreign policy. Awardees gain experience working in a new environment in the United States, Indonesia, Japan, or Europe; at an international organization; or at CFR (for IAF awardees coming from government). Applicants must be U.S. citizens. 

Learn more

The application period will close on October 31. Visit cfr.org/fellowships or email fellowships@cfr.org for more information.

In the News

Michael Froman interviewed in Trump, Xi Could Find Ways to Work Together (Fox News) 

 

Laura Taylor-Kale featured in U.S. Works to Secure Rare Earth Supply Chain as China Tightens Grip Amid Trade War (NPR Morning Edition) 

 

Inu Manak quoted in Canada’s Economy Is in Serious Trouble. Now Mark Carney Is Coming to Washington to Talk Tariffs (CNN Business) 

 

Heidi Crebo-Rediker and Douglas Rediker wrote Preparing for Politicised Dollar Liquidity (Financial Times)

Upcoming CFR Event

C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics (October 16, 8:45 a.m. EDT), with Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller and Tom Keene, cohost of Bloomberg Surveillance (presider)

 

U.S. Trade and Manufacturing: A Conversation With Peter Navarro (October 17, 10:00 a.m. EDT), with CFR President Michael Froman and Ana Swanson, trade reporter with the New York Times