The Gaza peace deal gives Israel all the leverage ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

There were scenes of jubilation in both Gaza and Israel after a ceasefire was approved between Hamas and the Netanyahu government to end two years of horrific violence.

There will be more celebrating in a few days if the remaining Israeli hostages are exchanged for Palestinian prisoners, as the first phase of the deal dictates.

But what then? As Marika Sosnowski writes, Hamas will soon find itself in a situation with negligible bargaining power – and many unanswered questions and vague details about the future of Gaza.

Sosnowski calls this a “strangle contract” – a highly coercive agreement that enables the more powerful party (in this case, Israel) to force the weaker party into agreeing to anything in order for them to survive.

The fear, she writes, is that war could soon return if Israel so chooses – all it needs is a pretext.

Justin Bergman

International Affairs Editor

The Gaza ceasefire deal could be a ‘strangle contract’, with Israel holding all the cards

Marika Sosnowski, The University of Melbourne

These types of ceasefires are highly coercive agreements that enable the more powerful party to force the weaker party to agree to whatever they want.

Best reads this week

Trump’s tragedy: the US becomes an autocracy and the presidency, a dictatorship

Emma Shortis, RMIT University

Blood-and-soil style violent nationalism infuses everything the Trump administration is doing.

Trump on a coin? When Julius Caesar tried that, the Roman republic crumbled soon after

Peter Edwell, Macquarie University

More than 2,000 years ago, the depiction of living leaders on Roman coins caused similar ructions. It came at a time when the Roman republic was in trouble.

An Australian chemist just won the Nobel prize. Here’s how his work is changing the world

Deanna D'Alessandro, University of Sydney

Richard Robson was struck by an idea in 1989. Decades later, his story shows the importance of fundamental science.

Today’s AI hype has echoes of a devastating technology boom and bust 100 years ago

Cameron Shackell, Queensland University of Technology

AI is showing some of the hallmarks of another technology’s rapid rise and fall back in the 1920s. These are the lessons we could learn.

Condé Nast bans fur after decades of protest. Is it a turning point, or another fashion fad?

Rachel Lamarche-Beauchesne, Torrens University Australia

In a big win for the anti-fur movement, Condé Nast has formalised a fur-free policy across its global titles, including Vogue, Tatler, Glamour and Vanity Fair.

TC Weekly podcast

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Andrew Jakubowicz on repairing our ‘fragile’ multicultural nation

Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra

The multiculturalism expert says increased tensions since the October 7 attacks have raised ‘the tideline of hate speech’ in Australia.

Nobel laureate Shimon Sakaguchi on his immune system breakthrough – and the treatments he hopes it will unlock

Gemma Ware, The Conversation

Listen to Shimon Sakaguchi, one of the 2025 Nobel laureates in medicine, talk about his research on The Conversation Weekly podcast.

Our most-read article this week

‘Toothpick grooves’ in ancient fossil human teeth may not be from toothpicks after all

Ian Towle, Monash University; Luca Fiorenza, Monash University

A new discovery could reshape how we interpret the fossil record of humans and their closest relatives.

In case you missed this week's big stories

We tracked 72,000 NSW public school students over a decade and found 19% had been suspended or expelled

Kristin R. Laurens, Queensland University of Technology; Lauren M. Piltz, Queensland University of Technology; Linda J. Graham, Queensland University of Technology

Suspending or expelling a student should be a last resort. But our study shows it is more common than it should be in NSW public schools.

Student expulsions
“After almost 50 years in teaching, I have seen a decline in student behaviour. By and large, the kids being suspended or expelled simply do not want to be in school. The authors state that boys are twice as likely to be suspended/expelled, my experience tells me the figure is much higher. Boys, in particular, are disengaged by the end of Year 7 and set out to make everyone's life a misery.

The authors state that "we can learn from the public school systems in Los Angeles, New York and Chicago". No, we cannot. That is how we got into this mess in the first place: importing the failed policies and practices of the American school systems.

If you want to improve the standards in our schools then allow our schools to put in place real consequences for bad behaviour and stop the helicopter parents interfering and threatening us with legal action every time we have the temerity to point out their child's shortcomings.”
Ryszard Linkiewicz, Woolooware NSW

We'd love to hear from you. You can email us with your thoughts on our stories and each day we'll publish an edited selection.

 

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