Thank you for subscribing to Off Message. This is a public post, available to all so please share it widely. If you enjoy this newsletter, I hope you’ll consider upgrading to a paid subscription, for access to everything we do. Your support makes Off Message possible. Thank you again. How To Reverse The TideIt's the gap between what's needed and what we have that keeps us up at night.
Every now and again, a reader will ask me how we get out of all this. What’s the plan? What can I do? What should I do? One reader posed that question to me in response to Wednesday’s newsletter, and if his note wasn’t unusually thoughtful and eloquent, I probably would’ve responded with the same thing I tell everyone else: If I knew, I would tell you. Or I would have put Off Message on hiatus months or years ago, and spent all my time executing a plan to save democracy. But I do think it’s reasonable to expect those of us who in some sense oppose Donald Trump for a living—particularly those of us who are political critics as much as strategists, reporters, or issue advocates—to articulate what we think a resistance that meets the moment would look like. We should be able to describe a posture and set of interacting, coordinating entities that would a) give us some peace of mind, and b) make us feel galvanized to participate in a front-footed, vigorous national campaign. This isn’t the answer I was asked to give. The question was what can people who aren’t key decision makers do to reverse the tide. And the answer is unsatisfying, because it’s the same one you’ll get everywhere: Do what JB Pritzker says. Protest peacefully, record abuses on your phone, share the videos widely. Join organized marches—if you’re a U.S. citizen, the incremental risk of protesting is minimal. You’re likelier to be hit by a falling object or trampled to death at a concert than you are to be targeted for carrying a sign, or being an Indivisible volunteer or anything else. If you’re able, and if it comes to it, engage in genuine civil disobedience, though there’s more danger there: a greater risk of arrest, assault, political harassment. But my sense is that what costs people like us sleep at night isn’t that we aren’t doing enough. It’s that we’ve lost confidence in the people who are in positions to do more. It’s become fashionable to repeat cliches like “nobody is coming to save us,” and “we’re going to have to save each other.” We surely do need stamina and self-sufficiency, but mantras like these let people in power—people who sought power, and people who have power by dint of wealth—off the hook too easily. They should know what we expect of them. THIS LAND IS GARLANDIf I were in a room with people like that, I’d say something along these lines: Think back from a future in which Trump successfully establishes an American reich that immiserates the country for decades, then collapses. We have a third founding. Democracy returns to a much diminished United States. Historians are finally free to scour the archives of the fallen regime, and to assess the actions of the people who had the most power to slow or stop the authoritarian takeover. People like Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries and (before Jeffries) Nancy Pelosi. People like Pritzker and Gavin Newsom, but also people like Joe Biden and Merrick Garland and Gretchen Whitmer and John Fetterman and Tim Cook and Bill Gates and on and on. Who would come out of that analysis looking good, and who would come out looking bad? Who would emerge as an unheralded prophet, and who would be remembered as the most Chamberlainesque appeaser? I suspect I don’t have to spell out who’s on which track. But the point of the exercise isn’t really to name and shame—it’s to provide them all a new north star. You are actors in history, you’re writing your own epitaphs. It’s late in the game, but defeat isn’t foreordained. There’s still time to reconceive of the challenge of resistance as taking the steps and risks that history would regard favorably. What statement or decision will be this moment’s “peace for our time”? What will be its opposite call, “we must never surrender”? Who will be viewed retrospectively to have understood the challenge correctly? The one who said, “If you come for my people, you come through me”? Or the one who pivoted to health-care subsidies? A thought experiment like this would hopefully spark a real brainstorm about how to reorient the party and its allied elites for coherent, national-scale resistance. Make legislative caucus leaders start conceiving of their roles more broadly. Sadly, I don’t think they’re thinking along these lines at all. MATH OF LEAST RESISTANCEI believe Democrats, and even some close friends of mine, tell themselves something like the opposite. Just keep swimming forward. When Trump breaks the law, sue. Protest peacefully, yes, but don’t make controversy. Ignore everyone demanding more fight in the here and now—they’re liable to push you into a “trap” that will “increase the salience” of crime and immigration. Talk about health care instead. They also say the public doesn’t care about democracy appeals—the 2024 election proved it. This is a reductive and dubious claim, and belies a stronger one: The greatest error of the pro-democracy cause wasn’t mentioning democracy alongside other issues in the campaign—it was the decision to be blasé about Trump during the 2020 transition and then after the insurrection. To take a path of least resistance; avoid conflict; win his voters over with good policy and happy talk. Readopting this mindset for his second presidency strikes me as unforgivably risky. But to them it’s the safest play. It’s the way to win the midterms, which will allow us to take proactive steps toward accountability. And this is unsatisfying for one obvious reason, and several others. Even if this were a recipe for midterm success in some abstract sense, the election is over a year from now. |