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Would-be Fed chairs jockey for the job
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The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced today that the consumer price index rose 0.2% in June. The below-forecast inflation reading was taken by President Donald Trump, according to his post on Truth Social, as a sign that the Federal Reserve should reduce interest rates by three points. Fed officials have been hesitant to cut while the effects of Trump’s tariffs remain uncertain. As that policy argument continues, there’s a different drama shaping up in Washington. Joshua Green writes today about Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s job security. Plus: Meet the people who are calculating companies’ tariff bills, and take a test drive in a Waabi autonomous big rig.

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Jerome Powell is no stranger to criticism from Donald Trump. The president’s lengthy history of attacks against the Federal Reserve chair—whom he recently dubbed “Mr. Too Late,” a dig at Powell’s reluctance to cut interest rates—stretches all the way back to his first term. But it’s no longer just Trump who’s nursing a grievance with Powell.

Over the past weekend, a full chorus of MAGA critics emerged, escalating the volume and the venom of the attacks. Russell Vought, the director of the Office of Management and Budget and a staunch Trump ally, in an interview with CNBC on Friday cited cost overruns in the renovation of the central bank’s Washington headquarters as proof that Powell “has systemically mismanaged the Fed.” Vought claims, somewhat dubiously, that the opulence of the project is comparable to France’s Palace of Versailles.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett concurred in an interview on ABC on Sunday that Powell “has a lot to answer for” on the renovation cost overruns, which the administration says are now $700 million above its initial figure. If Powell is found culpable of wrongdoing, Hassett suggested, it could be a pretext for Trump to remove him.

Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, who’s viewed as eager to succeed Powell as chair, also chimed in. “What we need is regime change at the Fed, and that’s not just about the chairman, it’s about a range of people,” Warsh said on Fox News. “It’s about breaking some heads, because the way they’ve been doing business is not working.”

Such a coordinated political attack on the Fed is highly abnormal in recent history. And Powell isn’t ignoring his critics. On Monday, Bloomberg News reported he’ll formally request that the Fed’s independent inspector general review its $2.5 billion renovation—a move he presumably believes will clear him of any wrongdoing. In the meantime, the Fed published a comprehensive FAQ on its website rebutting claims that the construction work is extravagant and explaining cost increases.

But vindication from the IG, should it come, isn’t likely to silence his critics. In my conversations with Republicans, Democrats and Wall Street watchers about Powell’s plight, no one believed that concerns about renovation costs were the real motivation for the complaints. Rather, everyone said that criticizing Powell has become a preferred mechanism for ingratiating oneself to Trump.

For figures like Warsh and Hassett, who are both known to be eyeing the Fed job, going after Powell in a way that Trump notices might help their campaigns to replace him. Others in the MAGA universe think that aggressively pressuring Powell might prompt him to quit the Fed once his term as chair ends next May, rather than make the unusual decision to stay on as governor (as I noted last week, Powell has been circumspect about his plans). That would open another seat for Trump to fill and expand his influence over an institution he longs to control.

As my colleagues and I recently reported, Trump is so keen to strengthen his control over the Fed that he’s discussed the possibility of having Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also serve as Fed chair. This or any other unorthodox move to install a loyalist in the job would “create the mother of all HR problems,” Renaissance Macro’s Neil Dutta told me. That’s because any such move would cause alarm that the Fed’s independence is being compromised.

While Trump bides his time and weighs his options on Powell’s successor, those around him appear to have concluded that stepping up criticism of the Fed chair is a good way to get ahead in Trump’s Washington. It isn’t hard to see why. After all, Bessent was one of Powell’s most vocal critics during the campaign—and wound up with a cabinet post.

Related: Bessent Suggests Powell Should Leave Fed Board in May

From Bloomberg Opinion: Powell’s Caution on Tariff-Driven Inflation Is Right

In Brief

It’s a New World for Customs Brokers 

Jonathan Lieberman in his office at New York Customs Brokers. Photographer: Adrienne Grunwald for Bloomberg Businessweek

A 75-pound box of frozen shrimp is sitting in Jonathan Lieberman’s office, and he’s starting to get nervous. By 2 p.m. the shrimp must be ready for shipment to Georgia—the final leg of a 9,000-mile journey. Before this can happen, Lieberman needs to inspect them, weigh them, check their temperature, refresh their dry ice and finish their customs paperwork. “These shrimp have been on a voyage,” he says, patting the large cardboard box. “All the way from Chennai, India.”

These shrimp are Litopenaeus vannamei—frozen, cleaned, about the size of a quarter. Tariff code: HS 0306.17.0041. There are dozens of tariff codes for shrimp, depending on whether they’ve been cooked, peeled, deveined; whether they come in a can, a jar, a sauce or a paste; and whether they have their head … or not. As president of New York Customs Brokers Inc., which specializes in seafood, Lieberman knows most of them by heart.

For a relatively modest fee (typically $80 to $300 per shipment), customs brokers play Virgil to the millions of items imported into the US every day, guiding them through an increasingly complicated terrain of shifting regulations, gyrating tariff rates and executive orders. It wasn’t always like this. Being a customs broker used to be a pretty straightforward, low-drama gig, says Lieberman, 37, who inherited the business from his father. Sure, there was the occasional emergency, such as the shipping container of crocodile meat that had to be sent back to Australia because of insufficient paperwork, but most nights he could make it home in time for dinner with his wife and two young children.

Trump’s trade war has changed that. Stacey Vanek Smith visits with the people in the trenches: It Used To Be a Low-Drama Gig. Customs Broker Is Now a High-Stress Job

A New Way to Test Driverless Trucks

Waabi CEO Raquel Urtasun. Photographer: Cassidy Araiza for Bloomberg Businessweek

Raquel Urtasun spent a few days in June working from a large tent in the Arizona desert. It came with a number of un-tentlike amenities, such as indoor plumbing and air conditioning to provide relief from the 110F heat, but its main appeal to Urtasun, who runs the self-driving truck startup Waabi, was its proximity to a 2-mile-long track where she can test her company’s hulking autonomous vehicles. Both tent and track are located inside a private facility where companies can perform critical, and sometimes perilous, field research, from ramming cars into one another to carrying out controlled explosions. (To visit, I had to sign one form promising not to discuss certain details of any tests I happened to witness and another saying I was responsible for any Gila monster bites I might suffer.)

Waabi’s tests don’t have the inherent drama of blowing things up, but they’re impressive in their own way, consisting of 17-ton driverless trucks maneuvering around physical and virtual obstacles. Urtasun founded the startup in 2021, years after the first companies began trying in earnest to build self-driving vehicles. The industry-standard formula was to drive around as an artificial intelligence system tracks what happens so it can learn from the experience. Waabi was launched with the idea that it could quickly catch up by using digital simulation. It created a sort of metaverse for trucks that Urtasun has dubbed “Waabi World,” a name the company says is in no way a reference to the similarly named theme park in National Lampoon’s Vacation.

Joshua Brustein went on A Walk With Urtasun at the facility where Waabi World meets the real world: My Test-Drive in a Waabi Driverless Big Rig

Europe’s Trade Targets

$84 billion
That’s the value of US goods the European Union will target if it decides to retaliate against Trump’s tariff policy. The list includes Boeing aircraft, automobiles and bourbon.

New Tax Confusion

“Nothing in this bill screams simplification. It’s really adding in more things you need to worry about when you’re filing your tax return.”
Andrew Zylka
Principal at accounting firm UHY
Boil down the hundreds of tax provisions in the sprawling legislation that Trump signed on July 4, and it becomes clear: The rates Americans pay will now depend less on how much money they make, and more on how they earn it, where they live and even who they are.

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