President Donald Trump’s signature legislation for his second term has moved one step closer to becoming law. Many Democrats have been sounding alarms about how it reshapes the social safety net, among other major policy changes, but a lot of people have tuned them out, Joshua Green writes. Plus: Investors are pouring in to Korean stocks, and toxic landfills are smoldering. If this email was forwarded to you, click here to sign up. You may have heard yesterday afternoon that Senate Republicans advanced their multitrillion-dollar tax and spending bill. Or maybe you didn’t. While the tax bill—dubbed by President Donald Trump the “big, beautiful bill”—is the centerpiece of the Republican legislative agenda and appears to be headed toward final passage, millions of Americans aren’t even aware of its existence. A June 27 poll from the Democratic group Priorities USA finds that an astonishing 48% of Americans haven’t heard about Trump’s landmark legislation, which stands to reshape broad swaths of US tax, health, nutrition, immigration and energy policy. The bill includes: - A massive tax cut geared mainly toward the rich, which the Congressional Budget Office says will add almost $3 trillion to the deficit in the next decade.
- More than $1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid spending and nutrition assistance programs for the poor and elderly, which the CBO estimates will lead to 11.8 million losing health insurance coverage.
- Cuts to hundreds of billions of dollars in support for solar and wind projects, as well as consumer incentives for energy-saving appliances and electric cars.
- Tens of billions of dollars for hiring thousands of Border Patrol and customs agents, building Trump’s southern border wall and adding the detention facilities necessary to carry out the president’s pledge to deport the estimated 12 million migrants living in the country unlawfully.
House Speaker Mike Johnson speaks at the Capitol on May 22, alongside other House Republican leaders, after the bill first passed the House. Photographer: Francis Chung/Politico/AP Images For Trump and Republicans, it’s probably just as well that half the country is unaware of what they’re trying to do. That’s because, among those who do know about it, Trump’s bill is strikingly unpopular. A flurry of recent surveys finds opposition running about 2-to-1. A representative poll from the nonpartisan group KFF found 64% of Americans opposed the bill, including 71% of independents. Although Democratic opposition isn’t surprising, KFF also found that 71% of independents and 27% of “MAGA Republicans” objected to it too. That group includes previously hardcore Trump cheerleaders such as Elon Musk. Over the weekend, Musk revived his feud with Trump by calling the bill “a massive strategic error” that would cripple the solar and battery industries, empower China and “leave America extremely vulnerable in the future.” He warned its passing would be “political suicide” for Republicans. Some of them agree. “Folks, Elon Musk is 100% right, and he understands the issue better than anyone,” Republican Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina wrote on X shortly before voting against the bill in the Senate. Unfortunately for Musk and Tillis, most Republicans lawmakers either support the bill or are too cowed by Trump’s threats to risk voting against it. As if to underscore this point, Tillis announced on Sunday that he’s retiring. On Tuesday, the bill passed the Senate 51-50, with a tiebreaking vote from Vice President JD Vance. It now heads to the House, where the typical pattern is for a handful of GOP members to loudly voice their opposition, before ultimately submitting to the president’s will in the final hour. Democrats hold out hope that they can sound the alarm and halt the bill’s passage before Trump’s preferred July 4 deadline. Liberal groups like Indivisible have launched campaigns to bombard Republican lawmakers with phone calls beseeching them to “oppose Trump's Medicaid-Slashing, Billionaire-Enriching Megabill,” while prominent Democrats such as Hillary Clinton try to amplify their message on social media. But many Americans in the second Trump era seem to be tuning out politics, especially messages from a Democratic Party that surveys show has lost credibility, even among its supporters. A March poll by the liberal group Data for Progress found that 44% of left-leaning voters would give the party a “D” or “F” grade for its handling of Trump. And support among the broader electorate isn’t any better. In April, Gallup found that confidence in Democratic congressional leadership had fallen to 25%—an all-time low. Unlike Trump’s first term, which featured waves of Resistance marches and wall-to-wall cable news coverage, public opposition to Trump this time around is more muted and television ratings are down. There are still anti-Trump protest marches, such as the recent No Kings gatherings. But they haven’t managed to convey the specifics of Trump’s big legislative package. The Priorities USA poll found that only 8% of Americans could name Medicaid cuts as a detail of the bill. As Republicans mount their final push to get Trump’s bill across the finish line, they’re fortunate to be facing such lackluster opposition. The next big question they’ll have to face is whether that will still be true in November 2026 when the effects of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act have started to kick in and voters head to the polls for the midterms. RELATED: SNAP Cuts in Big Tax Bill Will Hit a Lot of Trump Voters Too
NEW ON ELON, INC.: Joshua Green joins host David Papadopoulos to discuss the predictable second round of Elon Musk’s feud with Donald Trump and why there isn’t a huge constituency for a third party. Listen and subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, iHeart and the Bloomberg Terminal. |